Paul Skenes leads trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young at 28.5% implied probability, but Mitch Keller (23.2%) and Jacob Misiorowski (21.1%) keep the market bunched amid NL pitching depth concerns and young arms' breakout upside. Skenes builds on his 2024 runner-up finish with elite velocity and strikeouts, while Keller offers Pirates rotation stability via consistent sub-4.00 ERA seasons. Misiorowski's rapid Brewers ascent—touching 102 mph in minors and earning 40-man protection—fuels hype as a potential ace. Injury recoveries sideline Yamamoto and Woodruff's shares, Ohtani's dual-role uncertainty caps his odds, and veterans like Wheeler fade on workload questions, tightening focus on Pittsburgh and Milwaukee power pitchers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于保罗·斯肯斯 23%
山本由伸 12%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 11%
诺兰·麦克林 6.1%
保罗·斯肯斯
36%
山本由伸
12%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
11%
诺兰·麦克林
6%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
6%
亨特·格林
6%
尼克·洛多洛
5%
洛根·韦布
5%
克里斯·塞尔
4%
扎克·惠勒
3%
布雷克·斯内尔
3%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
21%
大谷翔平
8%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
2%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
2%
尤里·佩雷斯
2%
迈克尔·金
2%
耶稣·卢扎多
2%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
2%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
2%
尼克·皮韦塔
2%
米奇·凯勒
23%
保罗·斯肯斯 23%
山本由伸 12%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯 11%
诺兰·麦克林 6.1%
保罗·斯肯斯
36%
山本由伸
12%
克里斯托弗·桑切斯
11%
诺兰·麦克林
6%
布兰登·伍德拉夫
6%
亨特·格林
6%
尼克·洛多洛
5%
洛根·韦布
5%
克里斯·塞尔
4%
扎克·惠勒
3%
布雷克·斯内尔
3%
雅各布·米西奥罗夫斯基
21%
大谷翔平
8%
弗雷迪·佩拉尔塔
2%
泰勒·格拉斯诺
2%
尤里·佩雷斯
2%
迈克尔·金
2%
耶稣·卢扎多
2%
斯宾塞·施韦伦巴赫
2%
斯宾塞·斯特莱德
2%
尼克·皮韦塔
2%
米奇·凯勒
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes leads trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young at 28.5% implied probability, but Mitch Keller (23.2%) and Jacob Misiorowski (21.1%) keep the market bunched amid NL pitching depth concerns and young arms' breakout upside. Skenes builds on his 2024 runner-up finish with elite velocity and strikeouts, while Keller offers Pirates rotation stability via consistent sub-4.00 ERA seasons. Misiorowski's rapid Brewers ascent—touching 102 mph in minors and earning 40-man protection—fuels hype as a potential ace. Injury recoveries sideline Yamamoto and Woodruff's shares, Ohtani's dual-role uncertainty caps his odds, and veterans like Wheeler fade on workload questions, tightening focus on Pittsburgh and Milwaukee power pitchers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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