Trader consensus slightly favors Carlos Mendoza at 42.5% implied probability for NL Manager of the Year, reflecting optimism around the Mets' deep roster and potential rebound from their 83-79 2025 finish amid NL East parity. The field remains tightly contested, with Torey Lovullo, Blake Butera, and a cluster at 34.5%—including newcomers Walt Weiss (Braves), Terry Francona (Reds finalist), Warren Schaeffer (Rockies), Tony Vitello (Giants), and Craig Stammen (Padres)—highlighting the NL's managerial turnover and bets on surprise turnarounds. Historical BBWAA patterns reward overachievers securing playoffs or divisions; early 2026 results, roster health, and exceeding projections will be pivotal swing factors in this fluid market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Carlos Mendoza 43%
Torey Lovullo 35%
Blake Butera 35%
Walt Weiss 34%
Carlos Mendoza
43%
Torey Lovullo
35%
Blake Butera
35%
Walt Weiss
34%
Terry Francona
34%
Don Kelly
34%
Dave Roberts
34%
Craig Counsell
34%
Warren Schaeffer
34%
Pat Murphy
34%
Rob Thomson
34%
Tony Vitello
34%
Clayton McCullough
34%
Craig Stammen
34%
Oliver Marmol
34%
Carlos Mendoza 43%
Torey Lovullo 35%
Blake Butera 35%
Walt Weiss 34%
Carlos Mendoza
43%
Torey Lovullo
35%
Blake Butera
35%
Walt Weiss
34%
Terry Francona
34%
Don Kelly
34%
Dave Roberts
34%
Craig Counsell
34%
Warren Schaeffer
34%
Pat Murphy
34%
Rob Thomson
34%
Tony Vitello
34%
Clayton McCullough
34%
Craig Stammen
34%
Oliver Marmol
34%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Carlos Mendoza at 42.5% implied probability for NL Manager of the Year, reflecting optimism around the Mets' deep roster and potential rebound from their 83-79 2025 finish amid NL East parity. The field remains tightly contested, with Torey Lovullo, Blake Butera, and a cluster at 34.5%—including newcomers Walt Weiss (Braves), Terry Francona (Reds finalist), Warren Schaeffer (Rockies), Tony Vitello (Giants), and Craig Stammen (Padres)—highlighting the NL's managerial turnover and bets on surprise turnarounds. Historical BBWAA patterns reward overachievers securing playoffs or divisions; early 2026 results, roster health, and exceeding projections will be pivotal swing factors in this fluid market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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