Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership faces no imminent threats, anchoring trader consensus at 90% against his exit by December 31, 2026, amid stable NDA coalition dynamics and a full term until 2029 general elections. A significant legislative setback occurred on April 17 when the opposition INDIA bloc defeated the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill in Lok Sabha, failing the two-thirds majority for delimitation-linked women's quota tweaks—yet no government crisis ensued, with allies reaffirming support. Modi continues active campaigning in ongoing 2026 state assembly polls across West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Puducherry, countering earlier opposition rhetoric like Arvind Kejriwal's March speculation. Scenarios like health issues, scandals, or no-confidence votes could shift odds, but none have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$24,871 交易量
$24,871 交易量
是
$24,871 交易量
$24,871 交易量
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership faces no imminent threats, anchoring trader consensus at 90% against his exit by December 31, 2026, amid stable NDA coalition dynamics and a full term until 2029 general elections. A significant legislative setback occurred on April 17 when the opposition INDIA bloc defeated the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill in Lok Sabha, failing the two-thirds majority for delimitation-linked women's quota tweaks—yet no government crisis ensued, with allies reaffirming support. Modi continues active campaigning in ongoing 2026 state assembly polls across West Bengal, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Assam, and Puducherry, countering earlier opposition rhetoric like Arvind Kejriwal's March speculation. Scenarios like health issues, scandals, or no-confidence votes could shift odds, but none have materialized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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