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icon for 莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?

莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?

icon for 莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?

莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?

12月 31

12月 31

9% 概率
Polymarket

$26,175 交易量

9% 概率
Polymarket

$26,175 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.1% reflecting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure leadership of the BJP-led NDA coalition government, which commands a stable Lok Sabha majority following the 2024 general election and favorable state poll outcomes like the November 2025 landslide. Recent opposition efforts, including no-confidence motions against the Lok Sabha Speaker in February-March 2026 and rhetorical demands from leaders like Arvind Kejriwal and Mamata Banerjee, faltered on procedural shortcomings or lack of support, with February opinion polls projecting NDA at 352 seats in a hypothetical early vote. Absent major catalysts such as health events, coalition defections, scandals, or a successful no-confidence vote, the market sees minimal risk of Modi ceasing to serve before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,175
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.1% reflecting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's secure leadership of the BJP-led NDA coalition government, which commands a stable Lok Sabha majority following the 2024 general election and favorable state poll outcomes like the November 2025 landslide. Recent opposition efforts, including no-confidence motions against the Lok Sabha Speaker in February-March 2026 and rhetorical demands from leaders like Arvind Kejriwal and Mamata Banerjee, faltered on procedural shortcomings or lack of support, with February opinion polls projecting NDA at 352 seats in a hypothetical early vote. Absent major catalysts such as health events, coalition defections, scandals, or a successful no-confidence vote, the market sees minimal risk of Modi ceasing to serve before year-end.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,175
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"莫迪会在2026年12月31日前下台吗?",概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 9¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 9%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?"已产生 $26.2K 的总交易量(自Nov 13, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?"的当前领先者是"莫迪会在2026年12月31日前下台吗?",仅有 9%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"莫迪在2026年12月31日之前退出?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。