Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflected in trader consensus that prices the probability of his departure at just 6.2%. As of mid-September 2026, Modi continues to exercise full executive authority, chairing the BRICS summit in New Delhi and conducting bilateral meetings with major world leaders on trade, security, and multilateral issues. An August 2026 India Today-CVoter survey showed him as the leading choice for the top post at 48.7%, despite a modest decline, while the BJP-led NDA maintains its parliamentary majority and focuses on preparations for the 2029 Lok Sabha elections. No constitutional term limits apply, and recent episodes such as localized protests or opposition claims of a “final phase” have produced no institutional pressure or internal party moves toward an early transition. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the absence of credible removal mechanisms within the current term further anchor expectations that Modi will complete his mandate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$252,183 交易量
$252,183 交易量
2026-12-30
是
6% 概率
$252,183 交易量
$252,183 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflected in trader consensus that prices the probability of his departure at just 6.2%. As of mid-September 2026, Modi continues to exercise full executive authority, chairing the BRICS summit in New Delhi and conducting bilateral meetings with major world leaders on trade, security, and multilateral issues. An August 2026 India Today-CVoter survey showed him as the leading choice for the top post at 48.7%, despite a modest decline, while the BJP-led NDA maintains its parliamentary majority and focuses on preparations for the 2029 Lok Sabha elections. No constitutional term limits apply, and recent episodes such as localized protests or opposition claims of a “final phase” have produced no institutional pressure or internal party moves toward an early transition. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the absence of credible removal mechanisms within the current term further anchor expectations that Modi will complete his mandate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$252,183结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflected in trader consensus that prices the probability of his departure at just 6.2%. As of mid-September 2026, Modi continues to exercise full executive authority, chairing the BRICS summit in New Delhi and conducting bilateral meetings with major world leaders on trade, security, and multilateral issues. An August 2026 India Today-CVoter survey showed him as the leading choice for the top post at 48.7%, despite a modest decline, while the BJP-led NDA maintains its parliamentary majority and focuses on preparations for the 2029 Lok Sabha elections. No constitutional term limits apply, and recent episodes such as localized protests or opposition claims of a “final phase” have produced no institutional pressure or internal party moves toward an early transition. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the absence of credible removal mechanisms within the current term further anchor expectations that Modi will complete his mandate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$252,183结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETNarendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, reflected in trader consensus that prices the probability of his departure at just 6.2%. As of mid-September 2026, Modi continues to exercise full executive authority, chairing the BRICS summit in New Delhi and conducting bilateral meetings with major world leaders on trade, security, and multilateral issues. An August 2026 India Today-CVoter survey showed him as the leading choice for the top post at 48.7%, despite a modest decline, while the BJP-led NDA maintains its parliamentary majority and focuses on preparations for the 2029 Lok Sabha elections. No constitutional term limits apply, and recent episodes such as localized protests or opposition claims of a “final phase” have produced no institutional pressure or internal party moves toward an early transition. Historical patterns of incumbency advantage and the absence of credible removal mechanisms within the current term further anchor expectations that Modi will complete his mandate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题