Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement remain in their opening phase, with owners and the MLB Players Association exchanging initial economic proposals just weeks ago that reveal wide gaps on core issues such as a hard salary cap, revenue split, and centralized media rights. The current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 1, 2026, and historical patterns show that complex labor deals in the sport typically require extended bargaining, often stretching into the following spring after a lockout threat or work stoppage. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% probability for no agreement by the deadline aligns with the early timeline and entrenched positions, as both sides continue to prepare for prolonged discussions rather than an accelerated resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
是
最新
最新
2026-12-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement remain in their opening phase, with owners and the MLB Players Association exchanging initial economic proposals just weeks ago that reveal wide gaps on core issues such as a hard salary cap, revenue split, and centralized media rights. The current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 1, 2026, and historical patterns show that complex labor deals in the sport typically require extended bargaining, often stretching into the following spring after a lockout threat or work stoppage. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% probability for no agreement by the deadline aligns with the early timeline and entrenched positions, as both sides continue to prepare for prolonged discussions rather than an accelerated resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,183结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement remain in their opening phase, with owners and the MLB Players Association exchanging initial economic proposals just weeks ago that reveal wide gaps on core issues such as a hard salary cap, revenue split, and centralized media rights. The current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 1, 2026, and historical patterns show that complex labor deals in the sport typically require extended bargaining, often stretching into the following spring after a lockout threat or work stoppage. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% probability for no agreement by the deadline aligns with the early timeline and entrenched positions, as both sides continue to prepare for prolonged discussions rather than an accelerated resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,183结束日期
2026-12-01市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations for MLB’s next collective bargaining agreement remain in their opening phase, with owners and the MLB Players Association exchanging initial economic proposals just weeks ago that reveal wide gaps on core issues such as a hard salary cap, revenue split, and centralized media rights. The current agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 1, 2026, and historical patterns show that complex labor deals in the sport typically require extended bargaining, often stretching into the following spring after a lockout threat or work stoppage. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% probability for no agreement by the deadline aligns with the early timeline and entrenched positions, as both sides continue to prepare for prolonged discussions rather than an accelerated resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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