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选举·参议院

下一任参议院多数党领袖？

Market icon
选举·参议院

下一任参议院多数党领袖？

查克·舒默 29%

约翰·图恩 19%

布莱恩·沙茨 12%

科里·布克 5.8%

Polymarket

$33,355 交易量

查克·舒默 29%

约翰·图恩 19%

布莱恩·沙茨 12%

科里·布克 5.8%

Polymarket

$33,355 交易量

查克·舒默会成为下任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

查克·舒默

$3,487 交易量

29%

约翰·图恩会成为下任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

约翰·图恩

$475 交易量

19%

布莱恩·沙茨会成为下届参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

布莱恩·沙茨

$861 交易量

12%

科里·布克会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

科里·布克

$527 交易量

6%

约翰·巴拉索会成为下届参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

约翰·巴拉索

$355 交易量

5%

林赛·格雷厄姆会成为下届参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

林赛·格雷厄姆

$8,314 交易量

5%

马克·凯利会成为下任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

马克·凯利

$629 交易量

4%

汤姆·科顿会成为下任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

汤姆·科顿

$192 交易量

3%

史蒂夫·戴恩斯会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

史蒂夫·戴恩斯

$18,016 交易量

3%

帕蒂·默里会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

帕蒂·默里

$87 交易量

3%

艾米·克洛布查尔会成为下一任参议院多数党领袖吗？ icon

艾米·克洛布查尔

$412 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on the next Senate Majority Leader reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms, where Democrats aim to flip four net seats from the current Republican 53-47 edge, buoyed by recent polling gains in battlegrounds like Maine and Georgia. Chuck Schumer leads due to his entrenched role as Democratic leader, aggressive recruiting, and party predictions of reclaiming control despite some progressive pushback on his endorsements. John Thune trails amid intensifying GOP criticism—fueled by President Trump's calls to nuke the filibuster and pass the stalled SAVE America Act—sparking conference challenges from senators like Mike Lee. Differentiators include Schumer's longevity versus Thune's legislative struggles; consolidation hinges on midterm outcomes, primary results, and potential leadership votes.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$33,355
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus on the next Senate Majority Leader reflects uncertainty ahead of the 2026 midterms, where Democrats aim to flip four net seats from the current Republican 53-47 edge, buoyed by recent polling gains in battlegrounds like Maine and Georgia. Chuck Schumer leads due to his entrenched role as Democratic leader, aggressive recruiting, and party predictions of reclaiming control despite some progressive pushback on his endorsements. John Thune trails amid intensifying GOP criticism—fueled by President Trump's calls to nuke the filibuster and pass the stalled SAVE America Act—sparking conference challenges from senators like Mike Lee. Differentiators include Schumer's longevity versus Thune's legislative struggles; consolidation hinges on midterm outcomes, primary results, and potential leadership votes.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$33,355
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"查克·舒默"，概率为 29%，其次是"约翰·图恩"，概率为 19%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 29¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 29%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"已产生 $33.4K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"的当前领先者是"查克·舒默"，概率为 29%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 29%。紧随其后的结果是"约翰·图恩"，概率为 19%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任参议院多数党领袖？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。