Trader consensus heavily favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 61% implied probability for April 8 TSA passengers, mirroring Monday's 2.21 million figure after Easter weekend peaks of 2.56 million on April 5 and 2.71 million on April 6, signaling a post-holiday normalization amid lingering spring break demand. The 1.8M-2.0M bin at 46.5% reflects bets on further weekday softening, consistent with year-over-year declines of 8-10% and reports of easing chaos at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare. Elevated volumes persist from record spring projections of 171 million travelers through April, but recent drops position mid-2M outcomes as frontrunners ahead of official tsa.gov data release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于>2.6M 10%
2.0M-2.2M <1%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
$3,908 交易量
$3,908 交易量
2026-04-08
<1.8M
1%
1.8M-2.0M
-
2.0M-2.2M
1%
2.2M-2.4M
60%
2.4M-2.6M
47%
>2.6M
10%
>2.6M 10%
2.0M-2.2M <1%
<1.8M <1%
1.8M-2.0M 0
$3,908 交易量
$3,908 交易量
2026-04-08
<1.8M
$105 交易量
1%
1.8M-2.0M
$40 交易量
-
2.0M-2.2M
$270 交易量
1%
2.2M-2.4M
$3,313 交易量
60%
2.4M-2.6M
$111 交易量
47%
>2.6M
$69 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 61% implied probability for April 8 TSA passengers, mirroring Monday's 2.21 million figure after Easter weekend peaks of 2.56 million on April 5 and 2.71 million on April 6, signaling a post-holiday normalization amid lingering spring break demand. The 1.8M-2.0M bin at 46.5% reflects bets on further weekday softening, consistent with year-over-year declines of 8-10% and reports of easing chaos at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare. Elevated volumes persist from record spring projections of 171 million travelers through April, but recent drops position mid-2M outcomes as frontrunners ahead of official tsa.gov data release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
交易量
$3,908结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus heavily favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 61% implied probability for April 8 TSA passengers, mirroring Monday's 2.21 million figure after Easter weekend peaks of 2.56 million on April 5 and 2.71 million on April 6, signaling a post-holiday normalization amid lingering spring break demand. The 1.8M-2.0M bin at 46.5% reflects bets on further weekday softening, consistent with year-over-year declines of 8-10% and reports of easing chaos at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare. Elevated volumes persist from record spring projections of 171 million travelers through April, but recent drops position mid-2M outcomes as frontrunners ahead of official tsa.gov data release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 8, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
交易量
$3,908结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ETTrader consensus heavily favors the 2.2M-2.4M range at 61% implied probability for April 8 TSA passengers, mirroring Monday's 2.21 million figure after Easter weekend peaks of 2.56 million on April 5 and 2.71 million on April 6, signaling a post-holiday normalization amid lingering spring break demand. The 1.8M-2.0M bin at 46.5% reflects bets on further weekday softening, consistent with year-over-year declines of 8-10% and reports of easing chaos at major hubs like Chicago O'Hare. Elevated volumes persist from record spring projections of 171 million travelers through April, but recent drops position mid-2M outcomes as frontrunners ahead of official tsa.gov data release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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