No charges or arrest warrants have been issued against former President Barack Obama despite referrals from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to the Department of Justice regarding Obama-era intelligence assessments on 2016 Russian election interference and public statements from President Trump calling for accountability. With fewer than seven months remaining before the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline, procedural requirements for indicting a former president—including evidentiary thresholds, grand jury processes, and Department of Justice review—remain unmet. Similar 2025 markets resolved without an arrest amid comparable public discussion. These factors sustain trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 is improbable under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
是
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No charges or arrest warrants have been issued against former President Barack Obama despite referrals from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to the Department of Justice regarding Obama-era intelligence assessments on 2016 Russian election interference and public statements from President Trump calling for accountability. With fewer than seven months remaining before the December 31, 2026, resolution deadline, procedural requirements for indicting a former president—including evidentiary thresholds, grand jury processes, and Department of Justice review—remain unmet. Similar 2025 markets resolved without an arrest amid comparable public discussion. These factors sustain trader consensus that an arrest before 2027 is improbable under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题