Multiple high-profile political and former intelligence figures face active or potential legal scrutiny that could lead to arrests by the end of 2026. Traders focus on ongoing corruption trials for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, probes involving U.S. officials from prior administrations such as John Brennan and James Clapper, and cases against international politicians including Spain’s José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. Domestic enforcement trends, Senate confirmations, and foreign policy shifts under the current U.S. administration influence perceived risks. Scheduled court dates, indictment timelines, and any new investigations within the next six months remain the primary catalysts that could alter market positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Who will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$126,025 交易量
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
31%
James Clapper
25%
Tom Homan
20%
Brandon Johnson
26%
Letitia James
25%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Adam Schiff
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Anthony Fauci
7%
Gavin Newsom
7%
Kash Patel
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
12%
Lisa Cook
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
John Kerry
6%
Pam Bondi
5%
Lee Jun-seok
26%
Joe Biden
4%
Bill Clinton
4%
Barack Obama
4%
James Comey
17%
John Brennan
62%
Mahmoud Khalil
48%
Susan Rice
43%
$126,025 交易量
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,983 交易量
31%
James Clapper
$2,658 交易量
25%
Tom Homan
$29,882 交易量
20%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 交易量
26%
Letitia James
$1,340 交易量
25%
Loretta Lynch
$472 交易量
11%
Adam Schiff
$6,790 交易量
8%
Candace Owens
$257 交易量
7%
Anthony Fauci
$8,335 交易量
7%
Gavin Newsom
$24,779 交易量
7%
Kash Patel
$153 交易量
7%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$275 交易量
12%
Lisa Cook
$619 交易量
6%
Hillary Clinton
$15,653 交易量
6%
John Kerry
$127 交易量
6%
Pam Bondi
$1,546 交易量
5%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 交易量
26%
Joe Biden
$2,047 交易量
4%
Bill Clinton
$434 交易量
4%
Barack Obama
$2,857 交易量
4%
James Comey
$9,244 交易量
17%
John Brennan
$6,677 交易量
62%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,191 交易量
48%
Susan Rice
$262 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple high-profile political and former intelligence figures face active or potential legal scrutiny that could lead to arrests by the end of 2026. Traders focus on ongoing corruption trials for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, probes involving U.S. officials from prior administrations such as John Brennan and James Clapper, and cases against international politicians including Spain’s José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. Domestic enforcement trends, Senate confirmations, and foreign policy shifts under the current U.S. administration influence perceived risks. Scheduled court dates, indictment timelines, and any new investigations within the next six months remain the primary catalysts that could alter market positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
交易量
$126,025市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple high-profile political and former intelligence figures face active or potential legal scrutiny that could lead to arrests by the end of 2026. Traders focus on ongoing corruption trials for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, probes involving U.S. officials from prior administrations such as John Brennan and James Clapper, and cases against international politicians including Spain’s José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. Domestic enforcement trends, Senate confirmations, and foreign policy shifts under the current U.S. administration influence perceived risks. Scheduled court dates, indictment timelines, and any new investigations within the next six months remain the primary catalysts that could alter market positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$126,025市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Multiple high-profile political and former intelligence figures face active or potential legal scrutiny that could lead to arrests by the end of 2026. Traders focus on ongoing corruption trials for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, probes involving U.S. officials from prior administrations such as John Brennan and James Clapper, and cases against international politicians including Spain’s José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero. Domestic enforcement trends, Senate confirmations, and foreign policy shifts under the current U.S. administration influence perceived risks. Scheduled court dates, indictment timelines, and any new investigations within the next six months remain the primary catalysts that could alter market positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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