**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, with courts citing protections that bar prosecution of sitting presidents except for insurrection or treason.** His June 2025 election victory led to indefinite postponements of retrials, and no new arrest warrants or legislative overrides have succeeded through September 2026. The ruling Democratic Party’s influence over prosecutorial processes and repeated dismissals of related complaints for insufficient evidence further limit near-term enforcement. Traders assign a 93.2% probability to “No” arrest before 2027, reflecting these institutional safeguards amid Lee’s ongoing exercise of executive authority, including recent policy briefings and overseas diplomacy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$546,611 交易量
$546,611 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$546,611 交易量
$546,611 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, with courts citing protections that bar prosecution of sitting presidents except for insurrection or treason.**
His June 2025 election victory led to indefinite postponements of retrials, and no new arrest warrants or legislative overrides have succeeded through September 2026. The ruling Democratic Party’s influence over prosecutorial processes and repeated dismissals of related complaints for insufficient evidence further limit near-term enforcement. Traders assign a 93.2% probability to “No” arrest before 2027, reflecting these institutional safeguards amid Lee’s ongoing exercise of executive authority, including recent policy briefings and overseas diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$546,611结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, with courts citing protections that bar prosecution of sitting presidents except for insurrection or treason.**
His June 2025 election victory led to indefinite postponements of retrials, and no new arrest warrants or legislative overrides have succeeded through September 2026. The ruling Democratic Party’s influence over prosecutorial processes and repeated dismissals of related complaints for insufficient evidence further limit near-term enforcement. Traders assign a 93.2% probability to “No” arrest before 2027, reflecting these institutional safeguards amid Lee’s ongoing exercise of executive authority, including recent policy briefings and overseas diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$546,611结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET**President Lee Jae-myung’s constitutional immunity under Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, with courts citing protections that bar prosecution of sitting presidents except for insurrection or treason.** His June 2025 election victory led to indefinite postponements of retrials, and no new arrest warrants or legislative overrides have succeeded through September 2026. The ruling Democratic Party’s influence over prosecutorial processes and repeated dismissals of related complaints for insufficient evidence further limit near-term enforcement. Traders assign a 93.2% probability to “No” arrest before 2027, reflecting these institutional safeguards amid Lee’s ongoing exercise of executive authority, including recent policy briefings and overseas diplomacy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题