Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in a drone operation, plus a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court for obstructing justice and related offenses. Appeals in the primary case continue without resolution, while recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and separate abuse-of-authority charges have not altered the core prison terms. With the resolution date of December 31, 2026, approaching and no scheduled executive actions or procedural developments indicating imminent release, traders assign a 93.2% implied probability to continued custody through the end of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$204,997 交易量
$204,997 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$204,997 交易量
$204,997 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in a drone operation, plus a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court for obstructing justice and related offenses. Appeals in the primary case continue without resolution, while recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and separate abuse-of-authority charges have not altered the core prison terms. With the resolution date of December 31, 2026, approaching and no scheduled executive actions or procedural developments indicating imminent release, traders assign a 93.2% implied probability to continued custody through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
交易量
$204,997结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in a drone operation, plus a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court for obstructing justice and related offenses. Appeals in the primary case continue without resolution, while recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and separate abuse-of-authority charges have not altered the core prison terms. With the resolution date of December 31, 2026, approaching and no scheduled executive actions or procedural developments indicating imminent release, traders assign a 93.2% implied probability to continued custody through the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$204,997结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETYoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term for abuse of power and aiding the enemy in a drone operation, plus a seven-year sentence upheld by the Supreme Court for obstructing justice and related offenses. Appeals in the primary case continue without resolution, while recent September 2026 acquittals on perjury and separate abuse-of-authority charges have not altered the core prison terms. With the resolution date of December 31, 2026, approaching and no scheduled executive actions or procedural developments indicating imminent release, traders assign a 93.2% implied probability to continued custody through the end of the year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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