Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption and related charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations. The primary case, involving over 140 counts and potentially lengthy sentences, entered formal trial proceedings in March 2026 and continues without resolution as of September 2026. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a 2-year-and-1-month prison term plus political restrictions, though subject to appeal. Turkish judicial processes, including appeals and the scale of the main indictment, indicate proceedings will extend beyond year-end. These cumulative legal developments and the absence of any reversal or release order underpin trader consensus that custody will persist through 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
6% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption and related charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations. The primary case, involving over 140 counts and potentially lengthy sentences, entered formal trial proceedings in March 2026 and continues without resolution as of September 2026. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a 2-year-and-1-month prison term plus political restrictions, though subject to appeal. Turkish judicial processes, including appeals and the scale of the main indictment, indicate proceedings will extend beyond year-end. These cumulative legal developments and the absence of any reversal or release order underpin trader consensus that custody will persist through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
交易量
$6,407结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption and related charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations. The primary case, involving over 140 counts and potentially lengthy sentences, entered formal trial proceedings in March 2026 and continues without resolution as of September 2026. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a 2-year-and-1-month prison term plus political restrictions, though subject to appeal. Turkish judicial processes, including appeals and the scale of the main indictment, indicate proceedings will extend beyond year-end. These cumulative legal developments and the absence of any reversal or release order underpin trader consensus that custody will persist through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$6,407结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETEkrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption and related charges tied to Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality operations. The primary case, involving over 140 counts and potentially lengthy sentences, entered formal trial proceedings in March 2026 and continues without resolution as of September 2026. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a 2-year-and-1-month prison term plus political restrictions, though subject to appeal. Turkish judicial processes, including appeals and the scale of the main indictment, indicate proceedings will extend beyond year-end. These cumulative legal developments and the absence of any reversal or release order underpin trader consensus that custody will persist through 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题