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朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?

Market icon

朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?

Jun 30

Jun 30

18% chance
Polymarket
NEW

18% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,176
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.

Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.

The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,176
结束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"朝鲜和韩国会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈吗?",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 18¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 18%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Nov 5, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?"的当前领先者是"朝鲜和韩国会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈吗?",概率为 18%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"朝鲜和韩国是否会在6月30日之前进行直接会谈?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。