Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs the 80-81 million view bracket at 93% implied probability for MrBeast's "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," driven by its precise pacing since the April 4 premiere. The video debuted with 34 million views in the first 24 hours—a respectable but below-average start for MrBeast's main channel compared to recent celebrity challenges—yet maintained steady daily gains through cross-promotion by 50 top streamers like xQc, iShowSpeed, Pokimane, and Ludwig, plus YouTube algorithm favoritism for high-engagement competitions. Hype from the preceding livestream further fueled retention. With week 1 complete at around 80 million views, upset scenarios remain slim: a late viral surge from reaction videos or shorts could push into 81-82 million, while view audits pose negligible downside risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于第1周MrBeast视频的浏览量? (较小的Strikes )
第1周MrBeast视频的浏览量? (较小的Strikes )
80-81M 90%
81-82M 8%
79-80M <1%
82-83M <1%
$51,199 交易量
$51,199 交易量
<78M
<1%
78-79M
<1%
79-80M
<1%
80-81M
90%
81-82M
8%
82-83M
<1%
83M+
<1%
80-81M 90%
81-82M 8%
79-80M <1%
82-83M <1%
$51,199 交易量
$51,199 交易量
<78M
<1%
78-79M
<1%
79-80M
<1%
80-81M
90%
81-82M
8%
82-83M
<1%
83M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DXVHmGoCTco. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Apr 10, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DXVHmGoCTco. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly backs the 80-81 million view bracket at 93% implied probability for MrBeast's "50 Streamers Fight for $1,000,000," driven by its precise pacing since the April 4 premiere. The video debuted with 34 million views in the first 24 hours—a respectable but below-average start for MrBeast's main channel compared to recent celebrity challenges—yet maintained steady daily gains through cross-promotion by 50 top streamers like xQc, iShowSpeed, Pokimane, and Ludwig, plus YouTube algorithm favoritism for high-engagement competitions. Hype from the preceding livestream further fueled retention. With week 1 complete at around 80 million views, upset scenarios remain slim: a late viral surge from reaction videos or shorts could push into 81-82 million, while view audits pose negligible downside risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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