MrBeast's track record of explosive early viewership on high-production challenge videos is the dominant force behind the 78% implied probability for 71-72 million views on day 4 of his latest upload, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!", aligning with historical averages like 72M for similar mega-budget stunts. Traders are pricing in his 380M+ subscriber base and YouTube algorithm favoritism, bolstered by day-1 peaks exceeding 70M and steady weekend accrual rates. Recent X buzz from viral clips and cross-promotions has sustained momentum, while minimal backlash or competing content keeps upside risks low, sidelining outliers like 75M+ at just 0.1%. Resolution hinges on official YouTube analytics at 24 hours post-day 4 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 4?
71–72M 86%
72–73M 15%
70–71M <1%
73–74M <1%
$1,104,382 交易量
$1,104,382 交易量
Mar 25, 2026
<69M
<1%
69–70M
<1%
70–71M
1%
71–72M
86%
72–73M
15%
73–74M
<1%
74–75M
<1%
75M+
<1%
71–72M 86%
72–73M 15%
70–71M <1%
73–74M <1%
$1,104,382 交易量
$1,104,382 交易量
Mar 25, 2026
<69M
$149,615 交易量
<1%
69–70M
$199,213 交易量
<1%
70–71M
$244,045 交易量
1%
71–72M
$164,544 交易量
86%
72–73M
$76,607 交易量
15%
73–74M
$54,954 交易量
<1%
74–75M
$100,893 交易量
<1%
75M+
$121,079 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,104,382结束日期
Mar 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 96 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 96 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AoN1K4c7VKE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
交易量
$1,104,382结束日期
Mar 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's track record of explosive early viewership on high-production challenge videos is the dominant force behind the 78% implied probability for 71-72 million views on day 4 of his latest upload, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!", aligning with historical averages like 72M for similar mega-budget stunts. Traders are pricing in his 380M+ subscriber base and YouTube algorithm favoritism, bolstered by day-1 peaks exceeding 70M and steady weekend accrual rates. Recent X buzz from viral clips and cross-promotions has sustained momentum, while minimal backlash or competing content keeps upside risks low, sidelining outliers like 75M+ at just 0.1%. Resolution hinges on official YouTube analytics at 24 hours post-day 4 cutoff.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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