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莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名

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莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名

基民盟 51%

社民党 44%

德国选择党 3.3%

格林党 <1%

Polymarket

$91,817 交易量

基民盟 51%

社民党 44%

德国选择党 3.3%

格林党 <1%

Polymarket

$91,817 交易量

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基民盟

$7,986 交易量

51%

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社民党

$7,015 交易量

44%

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德国选择党

$71,232 交易量

3%

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格林党

$5,584 交易量

<1%

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林克党

$0 交易量

<1%

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FW

$0 交易量

<1%

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BSW

$0 交易量

<1%

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自民党

$0 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)
交易量
$91,817
结束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (Rheinland-Pfalz) are scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Rhineland-Palatinate election for the Landtag does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Rhineland-Palatinate (Landeswahlleiter Rheinland-Pfalz https://www.wahlen.rlp.de/landtagswahl/ergebnisse)

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"基民盟",概率为 51%,其次是"社民党",概率为 44%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 51¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 51%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名"已产生 $91.8K 的总交易量(自Feb 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名"的当前领先者是"基民盟",概率为 51%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 51%。紧随其后的结果是"社民党",概率为 44%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"莱茵兰-普法尔茨议会选举:第二名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。