The three teams promoted from Serie B—Venezia, Frosinone, and Monza—enter the 2026-27 Serie A as the clearest relegation candidates following their respective one- or two-year absences. Opta simulations and betting markets consistently assign them the highest probabilities of an immediate return to the second tier, reflecting limited squad depth, modest transfer spending relative to established sides, and the challenges of adapting to the league’s intensity. Monza, managed by Ivan Jurić, and Frosinone have posted the weakest early projections around 41-43% relegation risk, while Venezia’s additions such as Akor Adams offer modest mitigation. Lecce, which survived the prior campaign despite scoring just 28 goals, and mid-table sides like Cagliari and Parma also feature in simulations if they suffer poor starts. The season opened on 22 August with the promoted clubs already facing tough fixtures.