Market icon

斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者

Market icon

斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者

斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS) 86%

自由运动(GS) 14%

民主党(D) <1%

社会民主党(SD) <1%

Polymarket

$438,999 交易量

斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS) 86%

自由运动(GS) 14%

民主党(D) <1%

社会民主党(SD) <1%

Polymarket

$438,999 交易量

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斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)

$115,720 交易量

86%

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自由运动(GS)

$55,534 交易量

14%

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民主党(D)

$91,338 交易量

<1%

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社会民主党(SD)

$0 交易量

<1%

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新斯洛文尼亚-基督教民主党(NSi)

$0 交易量

<1%

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左翼党(Levica)

$0 交易量

<1%

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Resni.ca(Res)

$0 交易量

<1%

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Mi,社會主義者!(Mi!)

$0 交易量

<1%

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维斯纳-绿党(Vesna)

$57,625 交易量

<1%

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斯洛文尼亚国民党(SNS)

$0 交易量

<1%

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斯洛文尼亚海盗党(PPS)

$72,879 交易量

<1%

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斯洛文尼亚人民党(SLS)

$0 交易量

<1%

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世代党(SG)

$0 交易量

<1%

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我们的国家党(ND)

$0 交易量

<1%

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普雷罗德党(PVP)

$45,903 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$438,999
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:36 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)",概率为 86%,其次是"自由运动(GS)",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 86¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 86%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者"已产生 $439K 的总交易量(自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"斯洛文尼亚民主党(SDS)",概率为 86%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 86%。紧随其后的结果是"自由运动(GS)",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"斯洛文尼亚议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。