Recent earnings upgrades centered on AI-driven revenue growth have lifted institutional year-end 2026 targets toward 7,600–8,000, supporting the 27.5% market-implied probability on closes above 8,000. With the index near 7,400 amid a 10% year-to-date advance, traders weigh resilient corporate fundamentals against sticky inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%. The spread across the 7,000–8,000 range reflects uncertainty over whether cooling labor data or persistent core CPI will prompt any policy easing before year-end, while high valuations limit conviction for outsized gains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于高于8,000美元 27%
7,000-7,500 23%
7,500-8,000美元 19%
6,500-7,000美元 18%
$30,186 交易量
$30,186 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
12%
6,000-6,500美元
10%
6,500-7,000美元
18%
7,000-7,500
23%
7,500-8,000美元
19%
高于8,000美元
27%
高于8,000美元 27%
7,000-7,500 23%
7,500-8,000美元 19%
6,500-7,000美元 18%
$30,186 交易量
$30,186 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
$17,459 交易量
12%
6,000-6,500美元
$1,809 交易量
10%
6,500-7,000美元
$3,066 交易量
18%
7,000-7,500
$1,578 交易量
23%
7,500-8,000美元
$3,019 交易量
19%
高于8,000美元
$3,255 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent earnings upgrades centered on AI-driven revenue growth have lifted institutional year-end 2026 targets toward 7,600–8,000, supporting the 27.5% market-implied probability on closes above 8,000. With the index near 7,400 amid a 10% year-to-date advance, traders weigh resilient corporate fundamentals against sticky inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%. The spread across the 7,000–8,000 range reflects uncertainty over whether cooling labor data or persistent core CPI will prompt any policy easing before year-end, while high valuations limit conviction for outsized gains.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
交易量
$30,186结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent earnings upgrades centered on AI-driven revenue growth have lifted institutional year-end 2026 targets toward 7,600–8,000, supporting the 27.5% market-implied probability on closes above 8,000. With the index near 7,400 amid a 10% year-to-date advance, traders weigh resilient corporate fundamentals against sticky inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%. The spread across the 7,000–8,000 range reflects uncertainty over whether cooling labor data or persistent core CPI will prompt any policy easing before year-end, while high valuations limit conviction for outsized gains.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$30,186结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETRecent earnings upgrades centered on AI-driven revenue growth have lifted institutional year-end 2026 targets toward 7,600–8,000, supporting the 27.5% market-implied probability on closes above 8,000. With the index near 7,400 amid a 10% year-to-date advance, traders weigh resilient corporate fundamentals against sticky inflation, elevated energy prices from geopolitical tensions, and the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the funds rate at 3.50–3.75%. The spread across the 7,000–8,000 range reflects uncertainty over whether cooling labor data or persistent core CPI will prompt any policy easing before year-end, while high valuations limit conviction for outsized gains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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