Recent equity gains have lifted the S&P 500 roughly 9.4 percent year-to-date through July 2026, supported by resilient corporate earnings and productivity gains amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Sticky June inflation at 3.5 percent year-over-year has tempered expectations for near-term easing, with futures now assigning higher odds to a possible hike by year-end. Traders are focused on the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and its updated economic projections, alongside third-quarter earnings releases and upcoming CPI and employment data, which will shape implied probabilities for December index levels. Geopolitical tensions add volatility to risk-asset pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$275,633 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ 9,300美元
4%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
24%
↑ 7,800美元
61%
↓ 6,200美元
25%
↓ 5,800
18%
↓ 5,200
8%
↓ 4,500美元
5%
$275,633 交易量
↑ 9,300美元
$7,858 交易量
4%
↑ 8,600美元
$24,401 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$17,349 交易量
24%
↑ 7,800美元
$7,782 交易量
61%
↓ 6,200美元
$37,713 交易量
25%
↓ 5,800
$32,817 交易量
18%
↓ 5,200
$43,979 交易量
8%
↓ 4,500美元
$53,043 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent equity gains have lifted the S&P 500 roughly 9.4 percent year-to-date through July 2026, supported by resilient corporate earnings and productivity gains amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Sticky June inflation at 3.5 percent year-over-year has tempered expectations for near-term easing, with futures now assigning higher odds to a possible hike by year-end. Traders are focused on the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and its updated economic projections, alongside third-quarter earnings releases and upcoming CPI and employment data, which will shape implied probabilities for December index levels. Geopolitical tensions add volatility to risk-asset pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
交易量
$275,633结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent equity gains have lifted the S&P 500 roughly 9.4 percent year-to-date through July 2026, supported by resilient corporate earnings and productivity gains amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Sticky June inflation at 3.5 percent year-over-year has tempered expectations for near-term easing, with futures now assigning higher odds to a possible hike by year-end. Traders are focused on the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and its updated economic projections, alongside third-quarter earnings releases and upcoming CPI and employment data, which will shape implied probabilities for December index levels. Geopolitical tensions add volatility to risk-asset pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$275,633结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETRecent equity gains have lifted the S&P 500 roughly 9.4 percent year-to-date through July 2026, supported by resilient corporate earnings and productivity gains amid a federal funds rate held at 3.50–3.75 percent. Sticky June inflation at 3.5 percent year-over-year has tempered expectations for near-term easing, with futures now assigning higher odds to a possible hike by year-end. Traders are focused on the September 15–16 FOMC meeting and its updated economic projections, alongside third-quarter earnings releases and upcoming CPI and employment data, which will shape implied probabilities for December index levels. Geopolitical tensions add volatility to risk-asset pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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