Recent robust S&P 500 earnings growth, with Q2 results showing approximately 30% year-over-year EPS expansion and widespread beats, has anchored trader sentiment near current levels around 7,666 as of early September 2026. This performance, led by AI-related sectors, supports expectations for further gains by year-end amid consensus analyst targets clustering near 7,900. However, persistent inflation—with core PCE at 3.4%—and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish signals have raised odds of a September rate hike from the 3.50-3.75% target range, pressuring valuations alongside elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, CPI release on September 11, and FOMC decision on September 16, which could shift implied probabilities depending on labor market and price data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$334,734 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
5%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
31%
↑ $8,000
59%
↓ $7,400
69%
↓ $7,200
74%
↓ $7,000
36%
↓ 6,200美元
15%
↓ $6,000
14%
↓ 5,800
8%
↓ 5,200
6%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$334,734 交易量
↑ $10,000
$103 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$9,527 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 交易量
4%
↑ 8,600美元
$30,604 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,486 交易量
31%
↑ $8,000
$559 交易量
59%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
69%
↓ $7,200
$0 交易量
74%
↓ $7,000
$343 交易量
36%
↓ 6,200美元
$49,331 交易量
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,947 交易量
14%
↓ 5,800
$41,770 交易量
8%
↓ 5,200
$56,380 交易量
6%
↓ 4,500美元
$59,566 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent robust S&P 500 earnings growth, with Q2 results showing approximately 30% year-over-year EPS expansion and widespread beats, has anchored trader sentiment near current levels around 7,666 as of early September 2026. This performance, led by AI-related sectors, supports expectations for further gains by year-end amid consensus analyst targets clustering near 7,900. However, persistent inflation—with core PCE at 3.4%—and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish signals have raised odds of a September rate hike from the 3.50-3.75% target range, pressuring valuations alongside elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, CPI release on September 11, and FOMC decision on September 16, which could shift implied probabilities depending on labor market and price data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$334,734结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent robust S&P 500 earnings growth, with Q2 results showing approximately 30% year-over-year EPS expansion and widespread beats, has anchored trader sentiment near current levels around 7,666 as of early September 2026. This performance, led by AI-related sectors, supports expectations for further gains by year-end amid consensus analyst targets clustering near 7,900. However, persistent inflation—with core PCE at 3.4%—and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish signals have raised odds of a September rate hike from the 3.50-3.75% target range, pressuring valuations alongside elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, CPI release on September 11, and FOMC decision on September 16, which could shift implied probabilities depending on labor market and price data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$334,734结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETRecent robust S&P 500 earnings growth, with Q2 results showing approximately 30% year-over-year EPS expansion and widespread beats, has anchored trader sentiment near current levels around 7,666 as of early September 2026. This performance, led by AI-related sectors, supports expectations for further gains by year-end amid consensus analyst targets clustering near 7,900. However, persistent inflation—with core PCE at 3.4%—and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish signals have raised odds of a September rate hike from the 3.50-3.75% target range, pressuring valuations alongside elevated Treasury yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls report, CPI release on September 11, and FOMC decision on September 16, which could shift implied probabilities depending on labor market and price data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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