Trader consensus favors a sub-$70 million sophomore weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting front-loaded momentum after its record-shattering $132 million domestic opening over Easter weekend, propelled by Nintendo fan fervor and family holiday turnout. Strong midweek holds—including 2026's best Tuesday at $14.8 million—bolstered the pre-weekend domestic cume past $239 million, but lower PostTrak scores (79% positive, 62% definite recommend) versus the 2023 Super Mario Bros. blockbuster signal softer word-of-mouth amid 42% Rotten Tomatoes critics versus 92% audience. Trackers project $60-75 million (Deadline: $60-70M; Boxoffice Pro: $65-72M), pressured by holdover Project Hail Mary and openers like You, Me & Tuscany; Sunday actuals will resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《超级马里奥银河电影》第二周末票房
《超级马里奥银河电影》第二周末票房
小于7000万 64%
7千万-8千万 36%
8000万-9000万 <1%
>9000万 <1%
$52,239 交易量
$52,239 交易量
2026-04-13
小于7000万
64%
7千万-8千万
36%
8000万-9000万
1%
>9000万
<1%
小于7000万 64%
7千万-8千万 36%
8000万-9000万 <1%
>9000万 <1%
$52,239 交易量
$52,239 交易量
2026-04-13
小于7000万
$8,786 交易量
64%
7千万-8千万
$7,806 交易量
36%
8000万-9000万
$4,494 交易量
1%
>9000万
$31,153 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors a sub-$70 million sophomore weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting front-loaded momentum after its record-shattering $132 million domestic opening over Easter weekend, propelled by Nintendo fan fervor and family holiday turnout. Strong midweek holds—including 2026's best Tuesday at $14.8 million—bolstered the pre-weekend domestic cume past $239 million, but lower PostTrak scores (79% positive, 62% definite recommend) versus the 2023 Super Mario Bros. blockbuster signal softer word-of-mouth amid 42% Rotten Tomatoes critics versus 92% audience. Trackers project $60-75 million (Deadline: $60-70M; Boxoffice Pro: $65-72M), pressured by holdover Project Hail Mary and openers like You, Me & Tuscany; Sunday actuals will resolve.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
交易量
$52,239结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors a sub-$70 million sophomore weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting front-loaded momentum after its record-shattering $132 million domestic opening over Easter weekend, propelled by Nintendo fan fervor and family holiday turnout. Strong midweek holds—including 2026's best Tuesday at $14.8 million—bolstered the pre-weekend domestic cume past $239 million, but lower PostTrak scores (79% positive, 62% definite recommend) versus the 2023 Super Mario Bros. blockbuster signal softer word-of-mouth amid 42% Rotten Tomatoes critics versus 92% audience. Trackers project $60-75 million (Deadline: $60-70M; Boxoffice Pro: $65-72M), pressured by holdover Project Hail Mary and openers like You, Me & Tuscany; Sunday actuals will resolve.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 10 - April 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$52,239结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a sub-$70 million sophomore weekend for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting front-loaded momentum after its record-shattering $132 million domestic opening over Easter weekend, propelled by Nintendo fan fervor and family holiday turnout. Strong midweek holds—including 2026's best Tuesday at $14.8 million—bolstered the pre-weekend domestic cume past $239 million, but lower PostTrak scores (79% positive, 62% definite recommend) versus the 2023 Super Mario Bros. blockbuster signal softer word-of-mouth amid 42% Rotten Tomatoes critics versus 92% audience. Trackers project $60-75 million (Deadline: $60-70M; Boxoffice Pro: $65-72M), pressured by holdover Project Hail Mary and openers like You, Me & Tuscany; Sunday actuals will resolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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