Bad Bunny’s Debí Tirar Más Fotos leads with a 75% implied probability due to its sustained dominance in global Spotify streams well into 2026. The 2025 release continues posting daily figures above 14 million, outpacing newer competitors and building on its prior year-end top-album status. BTS’s Arirang, released in March, posted the year’s strongest debut at 110 million first-day streams and multiple chart-topping weeks, yet trails in cumulative totals. Lower-probability entries such as Ella Langley’s Dandelion and Drake’s Iceman reflect solid but narrower audience reach and fewer consistent high-volume days. Traders are watching mid-year streaming updates and any late-2026 releases that could narrow the gap before year-end tallies lock in.