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icon for 特朗普今天: 4月25日

特朗普今天: 4月25日

icon for 特朗普今天: 4月25日

特朗普今天: 4月25日

$7,557,774 交易量

2026-04-25
Polymarket

$7,557,774 交易量

Polymarket

Trump dances

$7,532,933 交易量

Yes

Trump signs an executive order

$5,843 交易量

No

Trump wears a red tie

$5,138 交易量

No

Trump says "Sleepy Joe"

$6,011 交易量

No

Trump talks to Xi Jinping

$7,849 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve based on video.
交易量
$7,557,774
结束日期
2026-04-25
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.

已提议结果: No

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve based on video.
交易量
$7,557,774
结束日期
2026-04-25
市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.

已提议结果: No

有争议

已提议结果: Yes

有争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普今天: 4月25日"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Trump dances",概率为 100%,其次是"Trump signs an executive order",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普今天: 4月25日"已产生 $7.6 million 的总交易量(自Apr 24, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普今天: 4月25日"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普今天: 4月25日"的当前领先者是"Trump dances",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Trump signs an executive order",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普今天: 4月25日"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。