Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a closely contested 50% implied probability for Texas Instruments (TXN) to beat Q1 2026 consensus EPS of $1.36, balancing the company's conservative January guidance range of $1.22–$1.48 per share (midpoint $1.35) against stable analyst estimates showing no net revisions in the past 30 days. Recent strength in analog chip demand from AI data centers—where TI added a dedicated segment after 70% Q4 growth—offsets a slight Q4 revenue miss and historical earnings surprises averaging near zero, amid broader semiconductor sales up year-over-year. Key swing factors include industrial and automotive end-market recovery signals; the April 22 earnings release and Q2 guidance will likely tip odds decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-04-22
最新
最新
2026-04-22
As of market creation, Texas Instruments is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Instruments's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.36 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Instruments reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.36 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a closely contested 50% implied probability for Texas Instruments (TXN) to beat Q1 2026 consensus EPS of $1.36, balancing the company's conservative January guidance range of $1.22–$1.48 per share (midpoint $1.35) against stable analyst estimates showing no net revisions in the past 30 days. Recent strength in analog chip demand from AI data centers—where TI added a dedicated segment after 70% Q4 growth—offsets a slight Q4 revenue miss and historical earnings surprises averaging near zero, amid broader semiconductor sales up year-over-year. Key swing factors include industrial and automotive end-market recovery signals; the April 22 earnings release and Q2 guidance will likely tip odds decisively.
As of market creation, Texas Instruments is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Instruments's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.36 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Instruments reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.36 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Texas Instruments is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Instruments's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.36 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Instruments reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.36 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a closely contested 50% implied probability for Texas Instruments (TXN) to beat Q1 2026 consensus EPS of $1.36, balancing the company's conservative January guidance range of $1.22–$1.48 per share (midpoint $1.35) against stable analyst estimates showing no net revisions in the past 30 days. Recent strength in analog chip demand from AI data centers—where TI added a dedicated segment after 70% Q4 growth—offsets a slight Q4 revenue miss and historical earnings surprises averaging near zero, amid broader semiconductor sales up year-over-year. Key swing factors include industrial and automotive end-market recovery signals; the April 22 earnings release and Q2 guidance will likely tip odds decisively.
As of market creation, Texas Instruments is estimated to release earnings on April 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Texas Instruments's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.36 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Texas Instruments reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.36 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Texas Instruments releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-22市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a closely contested 50% implied probability for Texas Instruments (TXN) to beat Q1 2026 consensus EPS of $1.36, balancing the company's conservative January guidance range of $1.22–$1.48 per share (midpoint $1.35) against stable analyst estimates showing no net revisions in the past 30 days. Recent strength in analog chip demand from AI data centers—where TI added a dedicated segment after 70% Q4 growth—offsets a slight Q4 revenue miss and historical earnings surprises averaging near zero, amid broader semiconductor sales up year-over-year. Key swing factors include industrial and automotive end-market recovery signals; the April 22 earnings release and Q2 guidance will likely tip odds decisively.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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