The Trump administration's intensified economic pressure on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order declaring a national emergency and authorizing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers, along with a May 2026 executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban regime officials and security entities, forms the core driver shaping trader assessments of potential U.S. military action. These measures follow the January 2026 removal of Venezuela's Maduro, which severed Cuba's primary oil lifeline and triggered widespread blackouts. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal" while describing the island as a priority target, and the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning amid Caribbean naval deployments. Cuba has responded with warnings of resistance and calls for renewed cooperation on counterterrorism. No congressional authorization for force or troop deployments have materialized, leaving outcomes tied to ongoing diplomatic channels and further sanctions enforcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$4,301,079 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
45%
$4,301,079 交易量
12月31日
$2,121,974 交易量
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The Trump administration's intensified economic pressure on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order declaring a national emergency and authorizing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers, along with a May 2026 executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban regime officials and security entities, forms the core driver shaping trader assessments of potential U.S. military action. These measures follow the January 2026 removal of Venezuela's Maduro, which severed Cuba's primary oil lifeline and triggered widespread blackouts. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal" while describing the island as a priority target, and the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning amid Caribbean naval deployments. Cuba has responded with warnings of resistance and calls for renewed cooperation on counterterrorism. No congressional authorization for force or troop deployments have materialized, leaving outcomes tied to ongoing diplomatic channels and further sanctions enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
交易量
$4,301,079结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.The Trump administration's intensified economic pressure on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order declaring a national emergency and authorizing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers, along with a May 2026 executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban regime officials and security entities, forms the core driver shaping trader assessments of potential U.S. military action. These measures follow the January 2026 removal of Venezuela's Maduro, which severed Cuba's primary oil lifeline and triggered widespread blackouts. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal" while describing the island as a priority target, and the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning amid Caribbean naval deployments. Cuba has responded with warnings of resistance and calls for renewed cooperation on counterterrorism. No congressional authorization for force or troop deployments have materialized, leaving outcomes tied to ongoing diplomatic channels and further sanctions enforcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$4,301,079结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration's intensified economic pressure on Cuba, including a January 2026 executive order declaring a national emergency and authorizing tariffs on foreign oil suppliers, along with a May 2026 executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban regime officials and security entities, forms the core driver shaping trader assessments of potential U.S. military action. These measures follow the January 2026 removal of Venezuela's Maduro, which severed Cuba's primary oil lifeline and triggered widespread blackouts. President Trump has publicly urged Cuban leaders to "make a deal" while describing the island as a priority target, and the Pentagon has accelerated contingency planning amid Caribbean naval deployments. Cuba has responded with warnings of resistance and calls for renewed cooperation on counterterrorism. No congressional authorization for force or troop deployments have materialized, leaving outcomes tied to ongoing diplomatic channels and further sanctions enforcement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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