Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where US Vice President JD Vance met Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi over 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire terms, nuclear limits, or sanctions relief, diplomats are now pushing for a second round possibly within days in Pakistan. President Trump indicated on April 14 that negotiations could resume soon, amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile war ceasefire holding since early April. Pakistan is mediating, with UN calls for dialogue, but deep mistrust and Iranian demands for reparations pose barriers; trader consensus reflects uncertainty over near-term diplomatic breakthroughs before escalation risks rise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$622,915 交易量
2026-04-30
4月15日
1%
4月16日
6%
4月17日
21%
4月18日
48%
4月22日
78%
4月30日
89%
$622,915 交易量
4月15日
$19,603 交易量
1%
4月16日
$28,939 交易量
6%
4月17日
$9,828 交易量
21%
4月18日
$323,902 交易量
48%
4月22日
$161,570 交易量
78%
4月30日
$79,482 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where US Vice President JD Vance met Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi over 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire terms, nuclear limits, or sanctions relief, diplomats are now pushing for a second round possibly within days in Pakistan. President Trump indicated on April 14 that negotiations could resume soon, amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile war ceasefire holding since early April. Pakistan is mediating, with UN calls for dialogue, but deep mistrust and Iranian demands for reparations pose barriers; trader consensus reflects uncertainty over near-term diplomatic breakthroughs before escalation risks rise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$622,915结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where US Vice President JD Vance met Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi over 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire terms, nuclear limits, or sanctions relief, diplomats are now pushing for a second round possibly within days in Pakistan. President Trump indicated on April 14 that negotiations could resume soon, amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile war ceasefire holding since early April. Pakistan is mediating, with UN calls for dialogue, but deep mistrust and Iranian demands for reparations pose barriers; trader consensus reflects uncertainty over near-term diplomatic breakthroughs before escalation risks rise.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$622,915结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the collapse of the first direct US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, where US Vice President JD Vance met Iranian officials including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi over 21 hours without agreement on ceasefire terms, nuclear limits, or sanctions relief, diplomats are now pushing for a second round possibly within days in Pakistan. President Trump indicated on April 14 that negotiations could resume soon, amid a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and fragile war ceasefire holding since early April. Pakistan is mediating, with UN calls for dialogue, but deep mistrust and Iranian demands for reparations pose barriers; trader consensus reflects uncertainty over near-term diplomatic breakthroughs before escalation risks rise.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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