Fresh sexual assault allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell, reported Friday, have triggered a campaign crisis, with senior staff resignations, allies withdrawing support, and prominent Democrats—including House leadership, the California Democratic Party, and rival gubernatorial candidates—urging him to drop out of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary for governor. Swalwell denies the claims, but the rapid erosion of endorsements and party pressure in a crowded field signal to traders an untenable path forward, driving the 87.5% implied probability of withdrawal. Absent swift exoneration or scandal subsidence, his viability appears severely compromised ahead of the primary deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
$16,200 交易量
最新
$16,200 交易量
2026-07-01
是
最新
$16,200 交易量
最新
$16,200 交易量
2026-07-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fresh sexual assault allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell, reported Friday, have triggered a campaign crisis, with senior staff resignations, allies withdrawing support, and prominent Democrats—including House leadership, the California Democratic Party, and rival gubernatorial candidates—urging him to drop out of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary for governor. Swalwell denies the claims, but the rapid erosion of endorsements and party pressure in a crowded field signal to traders an untenable path forward, driving the 87.5% implied probability of withdrawal. Absent swift exoneration or scandal subsidence, his viability appears severely compromised ahead of the primary deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 10, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
交易量
$16,200结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fresh sexual assault allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell, reported Friday, have triggered a campaign crisis, with senior staff resignations, allies withdrawing support, and prominent Democrats—including House leadership, the California Democratic Party, and rival gubernatorial candidates—urging him to drop out of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary for governor. Swalwell denies the claims, but the rapid erosion of endorsements and party pressure in a crowded field signal to traders an untenable path forward, driving the 87.5% implied probability of withdrawal. Absent swift exoneration or scandal subsidence, his viability appears severely compromised ahead of the primary deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 California Governor election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Governor campaign, by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Swalwell or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,200结束日期
2026-07-01市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fresh sexual assault allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell, reported Friday, have triggered a campaign crisis, with senior staff resignations, allies withdrawing support, and prominent Democrats—including House leadership, the California Democratic Party, and rival gubernatorial candidates—urging him to drop out of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary for governor. Swalwell denies the claims, but the rapid erosion of endorsements and party pressure in a crowded field signal to traders an untenable path forward, driving the 87.5% implied probability of withdrawal. Absent swift exoneration or scandal subsidence, his viability appears severely compromised ahead of the primary deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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