California's Proposition 39, a Republican-backed initiative constitutional amendment requiring government-issued identification for in-person voting and the last four digits of such an ID for mail ballots along with expanded citizenship verification, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting over 1.3 million signatures. Recent polling from the Public Policy Institute of California in early September showed 43 percent support and 55 percent opposition, with Democrats largely against the measure and Republicans in favor. Opposition groups, including voting rights organizations and figures such as U.S. Senator Alex Padilla, have highlighted concerns over access for eligible voters without ready identification. These trends in a state that has long relied on signature matching and registration data for verification, combined with the measure's partisan sponsorship, underpin trader consensus that the referendum will not pass.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
32% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
是
32% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.California's Proposition 39, a Republican-backed initiative constitutional amendment requiring government-issued identification for in-person voting and the last four digits of such an ID for mail ballots along with expanded citizenship verification, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting over 1.3 million signatures. Recent polling from the Public Policy Institute of California in early September showed 43 percent support and 55 percent opposition, with Democrats largely against the measure and Republicans in favor. Opposition groups, including voting rights organizations and figures such as U.S. Senator Alex Padilla, have highlighted concerns over access for eligible voters without ready identification. These trends in a state that has long relied on signature matching and registration data for verification, combined with the measure's partisan sponsorship, underpin trader consensus that the referendum will not pass.
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$9,487结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThe California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.California's Proposition 39, a Republican-backed initiative constitutional amendment requiring government-issued identification for in-person voting and the last four digits of such an ID for mail ballots along with expanded citizenship verification, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting over 1.3 million signatures. Recent polling from the Public Policy Institute of California in early September showed 43 percent support and 55 percent opposition, with Democrats largely against the measure and Republicans in favor. Opposition groups, including voting rights organizations and figures such as U.S. Senator Alex Padilla, have highlighted concerns over access for eligible voters without ready identification. These trends in a state that has long relied on signature matching and registration data for verification, combined with the measure's partisan sponsorship, underpin trader consensus that the referendum will not pass.
The California voter ID initiative is a proposed statewide ballot measure for the California general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would require voters to present government-issued identification in California elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the voter identification initiative proposed by Reform California or any other statewide ballot measure that establishes a voter ID requirement for voting in California elections is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If by the last legally operative deadline for placing measures on the November 3, 2026 statewide ballot, including any deadline set or modified by statute governing the initiative qualification process, no qualifying voter identification initiative has been approved for submission to voters, and there is no enacted statute or pending court order that could still place such a measure on that ballot, the market will resolve “No”.
If the election is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the California Secretary of State. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval triggers will not be considered.
交易量
$9,487结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 PM ETCalifornia's Proposition 39, a Republican-backed initiative constitutional amendment requiring government-issued identification for in-person voting and the last four digits of such an ID for mail ballots along with expanded citizenship verification, qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after collecting over 1.3 million signatures. Recent polling from the Public Policy Institute of California in early September showed 43 percent support and 55 percent opposition, with Democrats largely against the measure and Republicans in favor. Opposition groups, including voting rights organizations and figures such as U.S. Senator Alex Padilla, have highlighted concerns over access for eligible voters without ready identification. These trends in a state that has long relied on signature matching and registration data for verification, combined with the measure's partisan sponsorship, underpin trader consensus that the referendum will not pass.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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