Israel’s civilian airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) has remained open since mid-July 2026 following repeated temporary closures between February and July tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian missile/drone responses. Renewed regional military activity around the Strait of Hormuz after the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown has kept security assessments active, with EASA continuing to flag elevated risk and many foreign carriers still avoiding Ben Gurion. Short-notice suspensions have occurred, including a June interception of a Yemen-launched missile, but authorities have consistently reopened operations quickly once threats subside. Trader consensus reflects the current open status and recent pattern of limited disruptions, while any fresh escalation involving Iran, Hezbollah, or Houthi strikes could trigger broader closures within resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,304,297 交易量
2026-07-14
8月31日
3%
9月30日
9%
$27,304,297 交易量
8月31日
$1,271,802 交易量
3%
9月30日
$615 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s civilian airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) has remained open since mid-July 2026 following repeated temporary closures between February and July tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian missile/drone responses. Renewed regional military activity around the Strait of Hormuz after the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown has kept security assessments active, with EASA continuing to flag elevated risk and many foreign carriers still avoiding Ben Gurion. Short-notice suspensions have occurred, including a June interception of a Yemen-launched missile, but authorities have consistently reopened operations quickly once threats subside. Trader consensus reflects the current open status and recent pattern of limited disruptions, while any fresh escalation involving Iran, Hezbollah, or Houthi strikes could trigger broader closures within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
交易量
$27,304,297结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel’s civilian airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) has remained open since mid-July 2026 following repeated temporary closures between February and July tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian missile/drone responses. Renewed regional military activity around the Strait of Hormuz after the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown has kept security assessments active, with EASA continuing to flag elevated risk and many foreign carriers still avoiding Ben Gurion. Short-notice suspensions have occurred, including a June interception of a Yemen-launched missile, but authorities have consistently reopened operations quickly once threats subside. Trader consensus reflects the current open status and recent pattern of limited disruptions, while any fresh escalation involving Iran, Hezbollah, or Houthi strikes could trigger broader closures within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,304,297结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel’s civilian airspace (Tel Aviv FIR) has remained open since mid-July 2026 following repeated temporary closures between February and July tied to US-Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian missile/drone responses. Renewed regional military activity around the Strait of Hormuz after the US-Iran ceasefire breakdown has kept security assessments active, with EASA continuing to flag elevated risk and many foreign carriers still avoiding Ben Gurion. Short-notice suspensions have occurred, including a June interception of a Yemen-launched missile, but authorities have consistently reopened operations quickly once threats subside. Trader consensus reflects the current open status and recent pattern of limited disruptions, while any fresh escalation involving Iran, Hezbollah, or Houthi strikes could trigger broader closures within resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题