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Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?

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Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?

6% 概率
Polymarket
最新

6% 概率
Polymarket
最新
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94.5% implied probability for "No" on Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's abrupt denial of his entry permission just days ago, amid fierce backlash over his past antisemitic comments. Announced as headliner for London's Wireless Festival in July, Ye's visa application was rejected as "not conducive to the public good," prompting the event's full cancellation and solidifying barriers to UK travel. With Ye recently performing sold-out shows at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles and no other confirmed trips amid ongoing controversies, traders see negligible upside for a pre-deadline visit. Realistic challenges include a successful appeal or unpublicized private travel, though historical precedents for such high-profile bans suggest slim odds of reversal before summer.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,731
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94.5% implied probability for "No" on Kanye West visiting the UK by June 30, driven by the UK Home Office's abrupt denial of his entry permission just days ago, amid fierce backlash over his past antisemitic comments. Announced as headliner for London's Wireless Festival in July, Ye's visa application was rejected as "not conducive to the public good," prompting the event's full cancellation and solidifying barriers to UK travel. With Ye recently performing sold-out shows at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles and no other confirmed trips amid ongoing controversies, traders see negligible upside for a pre-deadline visit. Realistic challenges include a successful appeal or unpublicized private travel, though historical precedents for such high-profile bans suggest slim odds of reversal before summer.

If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$1,731
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
If Kanye West visits the United Kingdom between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United Kingdom. Whether or not Kanye West enters U.K. airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"坎耶·韦斯特会在6月30日之前访问英国吗?",概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 6¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 6%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?"的当前领先者是"坎耶·韦斯特会在6月30日之前访问英国吗?",仅有 6%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"Kanye West是否会在6月30日前访问英国?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。