Russian forces have pursued incremental gains on the Kupiansk axis in Kharkiv Oblast as part of broader operations to secure bridgeheads across the Oskil River and threaten Ukrainian logistics. Moskovka (also referred to as Myrove), a settlement northeast of Kupyansk, sits at a tactical junction; Russian Ministry of Defense statements in mid-2025 claimed its capture by units including the 27th Motor Rifle Brigade, though subsequent Ukrainian reporting described partial Ukrainian counter-moves and contested pockets. Trader assessments reflect the pace of Russian advances in the sector, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and any shifts in artillery or drone activity that could enable or block territorial control by specific deadlines. Resolution hinges on Institute for the Study of War mapping confirming Russian capture of any portion of the locale.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,587 交易量
July 31
32%
$26,587 交易量
July 31
32%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have pursued incremental gains on the Kupiansk axis in Kharkiv Oblast as part of broader operations to secure bridgeheads across the Oskil River and threaten Ukrainian logistics. Moskovka (also referred to as Myrove), a settlement northeast of Kupyansk, sits at a tactical junction; Russian Ministry of Defense statements in mid-2025 claimed its capture by units including the 27th Motor Rifle Brigade, though subsequent Ukrainian reporting described partial Ukrainian counter-moves and contested pockets. Trader assessments reflect the pace of Russian advances in the sector, Ukrainian defensive reinforcements, and any shifts in artillery or drone activity that could enable or block territorial control by specific deadlines. Resolution hinges on Institute for the Study of War mapping confirming Russian capture of any portion of the locale.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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