Russian forces continue limited offensive operations and infiltration attempts in northern Kharkiv Oblast, including areas near Kupyansk and Vovchansk, amid the broader attritional campaign in eastern Ukraine. Ukrainian units have recently repelled assaults around settlements such as Moskovka itself, consistent with ISW assessments showing no confirmed Russian territorial gains there in recent reporting. Moscow’s main efforts remain concentrated on incremental advances elsewhere, particularly toward Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, while Kharkiv sector activity stays constrained by Ukrainian defenses, manpower shortages, and drone interdiction. Any resolution hinges on whether Russian units achieve a verified breakthrough into Moskovka territory per ISW mapping before the market’s cutoff, a development that has not materialized despite periodic claims and probing attacks. Scheduled developments, including potential Ukrainian reinforcements or shifts in Russian force allocation, could alter the localized balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,587 交易量
July 31
32%
$26,587 交易量
July 31
32%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue limited offensive operations and infiltration attempts in northern Kharkiv Oblast, including areas near Kupyansk and Vovchansk, amid the broader attritional campaign in eastern Ukraine. Ukrainian units have recently repelled assaults around settlements such as Moskovka itself, consistent with ISW assessments showing no confirmed Russian territorial gains there in recent reporting. Moscow’s main efforts remain concentrated on incremental advances elsewhere, particularly toward Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, while Kharkiv sector activity stays constrained by Ukrainian defenses, manpower shortages, and drone interdiction. Any resolution hinges on whether Russian units achieve a verified breakthrough into Moskovka territory per ISW mapping before the market’s cutoff, a development that has not materialized despite periodic claims and probing attacks. Scheduled developments, including potential Ukrainian reinforcements or shifts in Russian force allocation, could alter the localized balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题