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特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?

Market icon

特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,395 交易量

Polymarket

4月30日

$149 交易量

8%

6月30日

$1,246 交易量

24%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

Trump has not made any confirmed announcement about launching "Trump Mobile" or releasing a branded smartphone, despite his history of merchandising ventures like gold sneakers, watches, and Bibles that have capitalized on post-election fervor. Trader sentiment likely hinges on speculation around his business empire expansion into consumer tech, amid a smartphone industry dominated by Apple and Samsung where new entrants face steep barriers like supply chain hurdles and carrier partnerships. No recent developments in the past 30 days signal progress—rumors on social media remain unverified—leaving high uncertainty. Key to watch: official statements from Trump Organization or Truth Social teases, with market resolution tied to a verifiable public release by the specified date.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日",概率为 24%,其次是"4月30日",概率为 8%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Mar 27, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?"的当前领先者是"6月30日",概率为 24%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"4月30日",概率为 8%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。