**Trader consensus heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council through 2026, with the 93% implied probability on “No” reflecting official statements and continued institutional engagement.** Following the UAE’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, speculation arose about potential exits from other bodies, including the GCC. However, a senior Emirati official promptly ruled out further departures, stating that Abu Dhabi was reviewing multilateral ties but not considering leaving the GCC. GCC activities have continued without disruption. In August 2026, the GCC Secretariat issued multiple statements condemning attacks on UAE energy facilities, and member states participated in routine ministerial coordination and emergency sessions on regional security. These actions demonstrate ongoing cooperation on shared priorities such as maritime security and responses to external threats. While Saudi-Emirati policy differences have surfaced in areas like Yemen and broader regional alignments, no formal withdrawal announcements, diplomatic ruptures, or procedural steps toward exit have occurred. The absence of such developments, combined with explicit reassurances and active participation in GCC forums, underpins the current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$100,301 交易量
$100,301 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$100,301 交易量
$100,301 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council through 2026, with the 93% implied probability on “No” reflecting official statements and continued institutional engagement.**
Following the UAE’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, speculation arose about potential exits from other bodies, including the GCC. However, a senior Emirati official promptly ruled out further departures, stating that Abu Dhabi was reviewing multilateral ties but not considering leaving the GCC.
GCC activities have continued without disruption. In August 2026, the GCC Secretariat issued multiple statements condemning attacks on UAE energy facilities, and member states participated in routine ministerial coordination and emergency sessions on regional security. These actions demonstrate ongoing cooperation on shared priorities such as maritime security and responses to external threats.
While Saudi-Emirati policy differences have surfaced in areas like Yemen and broader regional alignments, no formal withdrawal announcements, diplomatic ruptures, or procedural steps toward exit have occurred. The absence of such developments, combined with explicit reassurances and active participation in GCC forums, underpins the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
交易量
$100,301结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council through 2026, with the 93% implied probability on “No” reflecting official statements and continued institutional engagement.**
Following the UAE’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, speculation arose about potential exits from other bodies, including the GCC. However, a senior Emirati official promptly ruled out further departures, stating that Abu Dhabi was reviewing multilateral ties but not considering leaving the GCC.
GCC activities have continued without disruption. In August 2026, the GCC Secretariat issued multiple statements condemning attacks on UAE energy facilities, and member states participated in routine ministerial coordination and emergency sessions on regional security. These actions demonstrate ongoing cooperation on shared priorities such as maritime security and responses to external threats.
While Saudi-Emirati policy differences have surfaced in areas like Yemen and broader regional alignments, no formal withdrawal announcements, diplomatic ruptures, or procedural steps toward exit have occurred. The absence of such developments, combined with explicit reassurances and active participation in GCC forums, underpins the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$100,301结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus heavily favors the UAE remaining in the Gulf Cooperation Council through 2026, with the 93% implied probability on “No” reflecting official statements and continued institutional engagement.** Following the UAE’s April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, speculation arose about potential exits from other bodies, including the GCC. However, a senior Emirati official promptly ruled out further departures, stating that Abu Dhabi was reviewing multilateral ties but not considering leaving the GCC. GCC activities have continued without disruption. In August 2026, the GCC Secretariat issued multiple statements condemning attacks on UAE energy facilities, and member states participated in routine ministerial coordination and emergency sessions on regional security. These actions demonstrate ongoing cooperation on shared priorities such as maritime security and responses to external threats. While Saudi-Emirati policy differences have surfaced in areas like Yemen and broader regional alignments, no formal withdrawal announcements, diplomatic ruptures, or procedural steps toward exit have occurred. The absence of such developments, combined with explicit reassurances and active participation in GCC forums, underpins the current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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