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icon for 阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

icon for 阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?

7% 概率
Polymarket

$100,301 交易量

7% 概率
Polymarket

$100,301 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the GCC after the April 2026 OPEC exit sparked speculation.** A senior Emirati source stated on April 29 that Abu Dhabi was reviewing its multilateral roles but had no plans for further departures from bodies such as the GCC or Arab League. The OPEC decision, effective May 1 and taken without prior consultation with Riyadh, exposed Saudi-UAE policy divergences—particularly over Yemen, Libya, and Sudan—but did not extend to the regional grouping. GCC institutions have remained active through the Iran conflict that began in February 2026. The council held emergency ministerial meetings, issued coordinated statements condemning attacks on member states, and continued work on economic integration and collective security. UAE participation in these forums, including representation at the Jeddah summit, has shown no signs of disengagement. Historical patterns of Gulf cooperation, despite periodic bilateral frictions, and the absence of any formal UAE announcement or procedural steps toward exit reinforce trader expectations that membership will continue through the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$100,301
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the GCC after the April 2026 OPEC exit sparked speculation.** A senior Emirati source stated on April 29 that Abu Dhabi was reviewing its multilateral roles but had no plans for further departures from bodies such as the GCC or Arab League. The OPEC decision, effective May 1 and taken without prior consultation with Riyadh, exposed Saudi-UAE policy divergences—particularly over Yemen, Libya, and Sudan—but did not extend to the regional grouping. GCC institutions have remained active through the Iran conflict that began in February 2026. The council held emergency ministerial meetings, issued coordinated statements condemning attacks on member states, and continued work on economic integration and collective security. UAE participation in these forums, including representation at the Jeddah summit, has shown no signs of disengagement. Historical patterns of Gulf cooperation, despite periodic bilateral frictions, and the absence of any formal UAE announcement or procedural steps toward exit reinforce trader expectations that membership will continue through the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$100,301
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"阿联酋会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会吗?",概率为 7%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 7¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 7%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"已产生 $100.3K 的总交易量(自Apr 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"的当前领先者是"阿联酋会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会吗?",仅有 7%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"阿联酋是否会在2026年退出海湾合作委员会?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。