Zohran Mamdani’s brief rap career as Mr. Cardamom peaked with the 2019 single “Nani” and earlier multilingual tracks before he fully pivoted to politics in 2020. As New York City mayor since his 2025 election, his schedule has centered on governance, with tax filings confirming only modest ongoing royalties from catalog streams that spiked during the campaign. No verified new releases, studio sessions, or official announcements have emerged, and a 2025 post-primary rumor featuring a supposed verse was quickly debunked. Traders assign “No” roughly 75% implied probability because the demands of office align with his earlier choice to step away from recording, leaving little room for a return before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
25% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
是
25% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s brief rap career as Mr. Cardamom peaked with the 2019 single “Nani” and earlier multilingual tracks before he fully pivoted to politics in 2020. As New York City mayor since his 2025 election, his schedule has centered on governance, with tax filings confirming only modest ongoing royalties from catalog streams that spiked during the campaign. No verified new releases, studio sessions, or official announcements have emerged, and a 2025 post-primary rumor featuring a supposed verse was quickly debunked. Traders assign “No” roughly 75% implied probability because the demands of office align with his earlier choice to step away from recording, leaving little room for a return before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
交易量
$126结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s brief rap career as Mr. Cardamom peaked with the 2019 single “Nani” and earlier multilingual tracks before he fully pivoted to politics in 2020. As New York City mayor since his 2025 election, his schedule has centered on governance, with tax filings confirming only modest ongoing royalties from catalog streams that spiked during the campaign. No verified new releases, studio sessions, or official announcements have emerged, and a 2025 post-primary rumor featuring a supposed verse was quickly debunked. Traders assign “No” roughly 75% implied probability because the demands of office align with his earlier choice to step away from recording, leaving little room for a return before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
交易量
$126结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ETZohran Mamdani’s brief rap career as Mr. Cardamom peaked with the 2019 single “Nani” and earlier multilingual tracks before he fully pivoted to politics in 2020. As New York City mayor since his 2025 election, his schedule has centered on governance, with tax filings confirming only modest ongoing royalties from catalog streams that spiked during the campaign. No verified new releases, studio sessions, or official announcements have emerged, and a 2025 post-primary rumor featuring a supposed verse was quickly debunked. Traders assign “No” roughly 75% implied probability because the demands of office align with his earlier choice to step away from recording, leaving little room for a return before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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