Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

10%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$31.6K Liq.

79

Ends 3 个月内

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

95%

April 30

$87.7K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

26

Ends 19 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

46%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

109

Ends 3 个月内

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

41%

↑ 0.20

$1.8K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

64%

>$600M

$15M 交易量

$112K today

$408K Liq.

266

Ends 3 个月内

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $4

$613K 交易量

$45.3K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

61%

NVIDIA (NVDA)

$21.6K 交易量

$24.2K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

69%

↑ 14,000

$34.4K 交易量

$24.1K Liq.

4

Ends 9 个月内

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

41%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$249 Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

34%

December 31, 2026

$444K 交易量

$5.1K Liq.

28

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

4%

Successful splash down?

$1M 交易量

$43.5K Liq.

40

Ends 2 个月前

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 500

$99.7K 交易量

$43.9K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

61%

↓ $2.60

$189K 交易量

$243K Liq.

1

Ends 20 天内

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

44%

↑ 0.30

$300K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

10

Ends 9 个月内

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

74%

↓ $0.80

$0 交易量

$1.9K Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

87%

↑ 46

$703K 交易量

$146K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

White House # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

White House # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

50%

180-199

$2.7K 交易量

$34.5K Liq.

Ends 10 天内

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

42%

↑ 16

$36.3K 交易量

$47.6K Liq.

5

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

82%

↓ 0.0014

$98.5K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

What price will Chainlink hit in April?

54%

↑ 10

$3.0K 交易量

$26.8K Liq.

Ends 20 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 访谈 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 102 个活跃的 访谈 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $22.9M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?",市场目前认为 >$600M 的概率为 64%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 访谈 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。