Entering Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open with both players tied at 4.5/10, Hikaru Nakamura (white, rated 2810) holds a slim edge over Wei Yi (2754) per trader consensus, reflected in 26% implied probability for a Nakamura win versus 9.5% for Wei Yi. The hefty 63% on draw stems from their Round 4 encounter—Wei Yi vs. Nakamura—where the American grandmaster fumbled a winning position into a draw, underscoring elite classical chess defenses amid mid-pack standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (8/10 after Round 10 victory over Praggnanandhaa). Nakamura's recent Round 10 draw vs. Anish Giri and Round 8 revenge win over Fabiano Caruana signal stabilization, while Wei Yi's solid Round 10 draw against Caruana highlights resilience, favoring cautious play with four rounds left in the double round-robin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Entering Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open with both players tied at 4.5/10, Hikaru Nakamura (white, rated 2810) holds a slim edge over Wei Yi (2754) per trader consensus, reflected in 26% implied probability for a Nakamura win versus 9.5% for Wei Yi. The hefty 63% on draw stems from their Round 4 encounter—Wei Yi vs. Nakamura—where the American grandmaster fumbled a winning position into a draw, underscoring elite classical chess defenses amid mid-pack standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (8/10 after Round 10 victory over Praggnanandhaa). Nakamura's recent Round 10 draw vs. Anish Giri and Round 8 revenge win over Fabiano Caruana signal stabilization, while Wei Yi's solid Round 10 draw against Caruana highlights resilience, favoring cautious play with four rounds left in the double round-robin.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,358结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Yi Wei wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Entering Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open with both players tied at 4.5/10, Hikaru Nakamura (white, rated 2810) holds a slim edge over Wei Yi (2754) per trader consensus, reflected in 26% implied probability for a Nakamura win versus 9.5% for Wei Yi. The hefty 63% on draw stems from their Round 4 encounter—Wei Yi vs. Nakamura—where the American grandmaster fumbled a winning position into a draw, underscoring elite classical chess defenses amid mid-pack standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (8/10 after Round 10 victory over Praggnanandhaa). Nakamura's recent Round 10 draw vs. Anish Giri and Round 8 revenge win over Fabiano Caruana signal stabilization, while Wei Yi's solid Round 10 draw against Caruana highlights resilience, favoring cautious play with four rounds left in the double round-robin.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 11, 2026
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Hikaru Nakamura wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
交易量
$1,358结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Entering Round 11 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open with both players tied at 4.5/10, Hikaru Nakamura (white, rated 2810) holds a slim edge over Wei Yi (2754) per trader consensus, reflected in 26% implied probability for a Nakamura win versus 9.5% for Wei Yi. The hefty 63% on draw stems from their Round 4 encounter—Wei Yi vs. Nakamura—where the American grandmaster fumbled a winning position into a draw, underscoring elite classical chess defenses amid mid-pack standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov (8/10 after Round 10 victory over Praggnanandhaa). Nakamura's recent Round 10 draw vs. Anish Giri and Round 8 revenge win over Fabiano Caruana signal stabilization, while Wei Yi's solid Round 10 draw against Caruana highlights resilience, favoring cautious play with four rounds left in the double round-robin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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