Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. These actions signal tightened personal control over the military and party apparatus rather than vulnerability, with no verified reports of organized challenges, factional violence, or leadership defections in the past six months. China’s opaque elite politics generates periodic rumors, yet primary indicators—continued stability at the National People’s Congress and absence of public dissent—reinforce expectations of continuity. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt health developments affecting top leaders or unforeseen external shocks that fracture elite cohesion within the remaining months of 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$153,493 Vol.
$153,493 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$153,493 Vol.
$153,493 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. These actions signal tightened personal control over the military and party apparatus rather than vulnerability, with no verified reports of organized challenges, factional violence, or leadership defections in the past six months. China’s opaque elite politics generates periodic rumors, yet primary indicators—continued stability at the National People’s Congress and absence of public dissent—reinforce expectations of continuity. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt health developments affecting top leaders or unforeseen external shocks that fracture elite cohesion within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$153,493শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. These actions signal tightened personal control over the military and party apparatus rather than vulnerability, with no verified reports of organized challenges, factional violence, or leadership defections in the past six months. China’s opaque elite politics generates periodic rumors, yet primary indicators—continued stability at the National People’s Congress and absence of public dissent—reinforce expectations of continuity. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt health developments affecting top leaders or unforeseen external shocks that fracture elite cohesion within the remaining months of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$153,493শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 removal of Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. These actions signal tightened personal control over the military and party apparatus rather than vulnerability, with no verified reports of organized challenges, factional violence, or leadership defections in the past six months. China’s opaque elite politics generates periodic rumors, yet primary indicators—continued stability at the National People’s Congress and absence of public dissent—reinforce expectations of continuity. Low-probability shifts could still arise from abrupt health developments affecting top leaders or unforeseen external shocks that fracture elite cohesion within the remaining months of 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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