Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the People’s Liberation Army and Politburo since 2023 have removed over 100 senior officers and multiple top generals, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026, consolidating party control over military leadership and eliminating potential rivals ahead of the 2027 Communist Party Congress. These actions, officially tied to corruption investigations and loyalty enforcement, have produced no verified coup attempts or organized challenges despite circulating rumors, supporting the 96.5% trader-implied probability of no such event before 2027. The opaque system and absence of visible fractures reinforce this consensus among bettors. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include an acute health crisis for Xi or sudden elite realignments during the leadership transition window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4% সম্ভাবনা
$155,307 Vol.
$155,307 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% সম্ভাবনা
$155,307 Vol.
$155,307 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the People’s Liberation Army and Politburo since 2023 have removed over 100 senior officers and multiple top generals, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026, consolidating party control over military leadership and eliminating potential rivals ahead of the 2027 Communist Party Congress. These actions, officially tied to corruption investigations and loyalty enforcement, have produced no verified coup attempts or organized challenges despite circulating rumors, supporting the 96.5% trader-implied probability of no such event before 2027. The opaque system and absence of visible fractures reinforce this consensus among bettors. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include an acute health crisis for Xi or sudden elite realignments during the leadership transition window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$155,307শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the People’s Liberation Army and Politburo since 2023 have removed over 100 senior officers and multiple top generals, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026, consolidating party control over military leadership and eliminating potential rivals ahead of the 2027 Communist Party Congress. These actions, officially tied to corruption investigations and loyalty enforcement, have produced no verified coup attempts or organized challenges despite circulating rumors, supporting the 96.5% trader-implied probability of no such event before 2027. The opaque system and absence of visible fractures reinforce this consensus among bettors. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include an acute health crisis for Xi or sudden elite realignments during the leadership transition window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$155,307শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of the People’s Liberation Army and Politburo since 2023 have removed over 100 senior officers and multiple top generals, including Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli in early 2026, consolidating party control over military leadership and eliminating potential rivals ahead of the 2027 Communist Party Congress. These actions, officially tied to corruption investigations and loyalty enforcement, have produced no verified coup attempts or organized challenges despite circulating rumors, supporting the 96.5% trader-implied probability of no such event before 2027. The opaque system and absence of visible fractures reinforce this consensus among bettors. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include an acute health crisis for Xi or sudden elite realignments during the leadership transition window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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