Market-implied odds show traders assigning a 93.5% probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the Fed’s current data-dependent stance amid moderating inflation readings and a resilient labor market. Recent communications from officials have reinforced patience on policy adjustments, with market pricing aligned to steady Treasury yields and limited volatility in rate futures. This positioning rests on the view that incoming economic data through mid-year will not yet justify a shift. A hotter-than-expected CPI release or sharp deterioration in employment indicators before the meeting could still alter expectations and reopen the possibility of a 25-basis-point move.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপরিবর্তন নেই 94%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 2.4%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 2.3%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 2.1%
$10,046,129 Vol.
$10,046,129 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
2%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
2%
পরিবর্তন নেই
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
2%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
<1%
পরিবর্তন নেই 94%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 2.4%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 2.3%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 2.1%
$10,046,129 Vol.
$10,046,129 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$1,504,176 Vol.
2%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$1,107,322 Vol.
2%
পরিবর্তন নেই
$1,697,512 Vol.
94%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$4,152,551 Vol.
2%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$1,584,569 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Market-implied odds show traders assigning a 93.5% probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the Fed’s current data-dependent stance amid moderating inflation readings and a resilient labor market. Recent communications from officials have reinforced patience on policy adjustments, with market pricing aligned to steady Treasury yields and limited volatility in rate futures. This positioning rests on the view that incoming economic data through mid-year will not yet justify a shift. A hotter-than-expected CPI release or sharp deterioration in employment indicators before the meeting could still alter expectations and reopen the possibility of a 25-basis-point move.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$10,046,129শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Market-implied odds show traders assigning a 93.5% probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the Fed’s current data-dependent stance amid moderating inflation readings and a resilient labor market. Recent communications from officials have reinforced patience on policy adjustments, with market pricing aligned to steady Treasury yields and limited volatility in rate futures. This positioning rests on the view that incoming economic data through mid-year will not yet justify a shift. A hotter-than-expected CPI release or sharp deterioration in employment indicators before the meeting could still alter expectations and reopen the possibility of a 25-basis-point move.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$10,046,129শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds show traders assigning a 93.5% probability to no change in the federal funds rate at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting the Fed’s current data-dependent stance amid moderating inflation readings and a resilient labor market. Recent communications from officials have reinforced patience on policy adjustments, with market pricing aligned to steady Treasury yields and limited volatility in rate futures. This positioning rests on the view that incoming economic data through mid-year will not yet justify a shift. A hotter-than-expected CPI release or sharp deterioration in employment indicators before the meeting could still alter expectations and reopen the possibility of a 25-basis-point move.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা