Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin the 92.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting, currently held in the 3.50-3.75% target range. April headline CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year while core measures also accelerated, with May data due imminently expected to show further upside pressure amid energy shocks. Recent central bank communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance favoring steady policy, consistent with limited near-term rate volatility priced into futures. This positioning could face challenges from a sharper-than-expected CPI deceleration or pronounced labor-market softening ahead of the June 16-17 meeting and its updated economic projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডপরিবর্তন নেই 93%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 6.0%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$8,961,836 Vol.
$8,961,836 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
1%
পরিবর্তন নেই
93%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
<1%
পরিবর্তন নেই 93%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি 6.0%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো 1.4%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো <1%
$8,961,836 Vol.
$8,961,836 Vol.
Jul 29, 2026
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$1,241,554 Vol.
1%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট কমানো
$979,009 Vol.
1%
পরিবর্তন নেই
$1,303,132 Vol.
93%
২৫ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$3,961,027 Vol.
6%
৫০+ বেসিস পয়েন্ট বৃদ্ধি
$1,477,118 Vol.
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin the 92.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting, currently held in the 3.50-3.75% target range. April headline CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year while core measures also accelerated, with May data due imminently expected to show further upside pressure amid energy shocks. Recent central bank communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance favoring steady policy, consistent with limited near-term rate volatility priced into futures. This positioning could face challenges from a sharper-than-expected CPI deceleration or pronounced labor-market softening ahead of the June 16-17 meeting and its updated economic projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,961,836শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin the 92.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting, currently held in the 3.50-3.75% target range. April headline CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year while core measures also accelerated, with May data due imminently expected to show further upside pressure amid energy shocks. Recent central bank communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance favoring steady policy, consistent with limited near-term rate volatility priced into futures. This positioning could face challenges from a sharper-than-expected CPI deceleration or pronounced labor-market softening ahead of the June 16-17 meeting and its updated economic projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ভলিউম
$8,961,836শেষ তারিখ
Jul 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 19, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and a resilient labor market underpin the 92.5% market-implied probability of no change in the federal funds rate at the July 28-29 FOMC meeting, currently held in the 3.50-3.75% target range. April headline CPI rose 3.8% year-over-year while core measures also accelerated, with May data due imminently expected to show further upside pressure amid energy shocks. Recent central bank communications have reinforced a data-dependent stance favoring steady policy, consistent with limited near-term rate volatility priced into futures. This positioning could face challenges from a sharper-than-expected CPI deceleration or pronounced labor-market softening ahead of the June 16-17 meeting and its updated economic projections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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