The closely matched market probabilities across a wide range of temperature outcomes for Amsterdam on September 18 reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in regional models. Primary drivers include the evolving position of an Atlantic trough, variable warm-air advection from the south, and potential for a weak frontal passage that could cap daytime highs or allow clearer skies and greater insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows spread in maximum temperatures tied to subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical September baselines near 18–20°C providing context but limited skill at this lead time. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
19°C 65%
18°C 19%
20°C 16%
16°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
24%
19°C
65%
20°C
16%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 65%
18°C 19%
20°C 16%
16°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$6 Vol.
24%
19°C
$167 Vol.
65%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$3 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market probabilities across a wide range of temperature outcomes for Amsterdam on September 18 reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in regional models. Primary drivers include the evolving position of an Atlantic trough, variable warm-air advection from the south, and potential for a weak frontal passage that could cap daytime highs or allow clearer skies and greater insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows spread in maximum temperatures tied to subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical September baselines near 18–20°C providing context but limited skill at this lead time. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ভলিউম
$176শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market probabilities across a wide range of temperature outcomes for Amsterdam on September 18 reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in regional models. Primary drivers include the evolving position of an Atlantic trough, variable warm-air advection from the south, and potential for a weak frontal passage that could cap daytime highs or allow clearer skies and greater insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows spread in maximum temperatures tied to subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical September baselines near 18–20°C providing context but limited skill at this lead time. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$176শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market probabilities across a wide range of temperature outcomes for Amsterdam on September 18 reflect substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in regional models. Primary drivers include the evolving position of an Atlantic trough, variable warm-air advection from the south, and potential for a weak frontal passage that could cap daytime highs or allow clearer skies and greater insolation. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows spread in maximum temperatures tied to subtle differences in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with historical September baselines near 18–20°C providing context but limited skill at this lead time. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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