Recent National Weather Service and global model guidance points to a stable high-pressure pattern delivering mostly sunny skies and southeast winds of 5-10 mph across central Texas, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 90s for Austin on September 18. Ensemble consensus clusters near 96-97°F, with limited moisture keeping precipitation chances below 10 percent and minimal model spread on maximum temperatures. This aligns with above-normal late-summer conditions relative to the 1991-2020 average high near 91°F, though not record territory. Traders appear to price a modest upside bias toward 98-99°F based on potential for localized heating or slight forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation window, with lower-probability bins reflecting tail risks from any unexpected cloud cover or steering changes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 18?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 23%
94-95°F 13%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 23%
94-95°F 13%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
21%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and global model guidance points to a stable high-pressure pattern delivering mostly sunny skies and southeast winds of 5-10 mph across central Texas, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 90s for Austin on September 18. Ensemble consensus clusters near 96-97°F, with limited moisture keeping precipitation chances below 10 percent and minimal model spread on maximum temperatures. This aligns with above-normal late-summer conditions relative to the 1991-2020 average high near 91°F, though not record territory. Traders appear to price a modest upside bias toward 98-99°F based on potential for localized heating or slight forecast revisions ahead of the daily maximum observation window, with lower-probability bins reflecting tail risks from any unexpected cloud cover or steering changes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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