Recent forecasts for Chongqing on September 25 indicate daytime highs likely in the 28–32°C range amid lingering cloud cover and scattered light rain, consistent with the typical late-September decline from peak summer values near 33°C. Persistent humidity above 70% and variable low-level moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition limit daytime heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while light northerly winds offer minimal advection of warmer air. Model runs show modest spread tied to precipitation timing and extent, creating the near-even market split between outcomes above 35°C and at or below 25°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 48 hours will clarify whether clearer skies allow brief warming or continued overcast conditions cap temperatures near seasonal norms.