Recent MetService and model guidance point to a southerly airflow shift around September 22–23, introducing cooler maritime air that caps Wellington’s daily maximum near 11–13 °C, aligning with the broad 7–14 °C market distribution. Ensemble spreads and timing differences in frontal passage introduce roughly ±2 °C uncertainty in peak readings, while persistent northwesterlies earlier in the week have kept recent maxima closer to the 14 °C September average. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-to-above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic evolution currently favors the cooler side of climatology. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and may narrow trader-implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
11°C 39%
12°C 37%
9°C 35%
10°C 35%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 23, 2026
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
6%
8°C
33%
9°C
35%
10°C
35%
11°C
39%
12°C
37%
13°C
35%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
4%
11°C 39%
12°C 37%
9°C 35%
10°C 35%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 23, 2026
5°C or below
$11 Vol.
1%
6°C
$11 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
6%
8°C
$0 Vol.
33%
9°C
$0 Vol.
35%
10°C
$0 Vol.
35%
11°C
$60 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$0 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and model guidance point to a southerly airflow shift around September 22–23, introducing cooler maritime air that caps Wellington’s daily maximum near 11–13 °C, aligning with the broad 7–14 °C market distribution. Ensemble spreads and timing differences in frontal passage introduce roughly ±2 °C uncertainty in peak readings, while persistent northwesterlies earlier in the week have kept recent maxima closer to the 14 °C September average. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-to-above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic evolution currently favors the cooler side of climatology. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and may narrow trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$81শেষ তারিখ
Sep 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and model guidance point to a southerly airflow shift around September 22–23, introducing cooler maritime air that caps Wellington’s daily maximum near 11–13 °C, aligning with the broad 7–14 °C market distribution. Ensemble spreads and timing differences in frontal passage introduce roughly ±2 °C uncertainty in peak readings, while persistent northwesterlies earlier in the week have kept recent maxima closer to the 14 °C September average. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-to-above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic evolution currently favors the cooler side of climatology. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and may narrow trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$81শেষ তারিখ
Sep 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and model guidance point to a southerly airflow shift around September 22–23, introducing cooler maritime air that caps Wellington’s daily maximum near 11–13 °C, aligning with the broad 7–14 °C market distribution. Ensemble spreads and timing differences in frontal passage introduce roughly ±2 °C uncertainty in peak readings, while persistent northwesterlies earlier in the week have kept recent maxima closer to the 14 °C September average. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near-to-above-average temperatures overall, yet short-term synoptic evolution currently favors the cooler side of climatology. Updated model runs and MetService briefings expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum and may narrow trader-implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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