**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
6°C 98%
5°C 89%
3°C or below 69%
8°C 50%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
69%
4°C
6%
5°C
89%
6°C
98%
7°C
50%
8°C
50%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
6°C 98%
5°C 89%
3°C or below 69%
8°C 50%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
$100 Vol.
69%
4°C
$40 Vol.
6%
5°C
$8 Vol.
89%
6°C
$0 Vol.
98%
7°C
$3 Vol.
50%
8°C
$0 Vol.
50%
9°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
13°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$813শেষ তারিখ
Sep 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$813শেষ তারিখ
Sep 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 23 minimum clusters tightly around 5–8°C because official forecasts and model guidance indicate an overnight low in that narrow band under southerly flow.** Persistent S to SSW winds of 15–25 mph (with gusts higher) promote mixing that limits extreme radiative cooling, while partial cloud cover and a modest dew point around 4–6°C further moderate the drop. Historical September minima in Wellington average near 6–7°C, and current conditions align with a mild spring pattern influenced by La Niña-enhanced westerlies rather than a strong anticyclone. Small differences in forecast timing of any clearing or wind lull explain why 7°C and 8°C each sit at 50% implied probability while 6°C and 5°C remain competitive; traders are effectively pricing the range of plausible outcomes from ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic value.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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