Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including MetService and ACCESS-G models indicate sunny conditions and a daily maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 24, driven by a building high-pressure system and lighter northwesterly winds replacing earlier southerly flows. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant warming or cooling extremes, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 13°C and 41.5% for 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, though slight upward revisions in some runs introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine resolution odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
13°C 54%
14°C 41%
12°C 4%
15°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
54%
14°C
41%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 54%
14°C 41%
12°C 4%
15°C 4%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
54%
14°C
41%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including MetService and ACCESS-G models indicate sunny conditions and a daily maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on September 24, driven by a building high-pressure system and lighter northwesterly winds replacing earlier southerly flows. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant warming or cooling extremes, consistent with early-spring climatology for the region. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 13°C and 41.5% for 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, though slight upward revisions in some runs introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine resolution odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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