Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 13?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$198,838 Vol.
$198,838 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$198,838 Vol.
$198,838 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
27°C or below
$1,032 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,918 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,059 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,724 Vol.
No
31°C
$45,848 Vol.
No
32°C
$32,189 Vol.
No
33°C
$46,962 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$40,507 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,986 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,572 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,041 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$198,838শেষ তারিখ
Jul 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$198,838শেষ তারিখ
Jul 13, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Official HKO forecasts for July 13, 2026, project a daily maximum of 32°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible, placing the outcome near the current 32.5% market-implied probability. Recent model consensus from regional guidance highlights a modest cooling trend from July 12 highs near 34°C, driven by increased cloud cover and southwesterly flow associated with the monsoon trough that limits daytime heating. Historical July climatology shows average maxima around 31–32°C, with variability tied to typhoon proximity or clear-sky periods, yet no active systems currently threaten the region. Traders appear to weigh these factors against ensemble spread that could push readings to 33°C if subsidence strengthens or drop to 31°C with heavier showers, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window ahead of the next HKO update.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা