Traders are positioning around 28–30°C as the most likely peak temperature in Istanbul on August 7 because short-range model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating Mediterranean warmth. Daytime maxima have recently trended near the August climatological average of 28°C, with limited diurnal heating from relatively cool Black Sea surface temperatures. Updated forecast runs show no strong warm advection or subsidence enhancement that would push readings above 31°C, keeping the tail risk for 32°C or higher below 5% market-implied odds. The next NHC-style regional briefing and 48-hour model suite will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
28°C 42%
30°C 27%
29°C 25%
27°C 16%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
16%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 42%
30°C 27%
29°C 25%
27°C 16%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$27 Vol.
1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
1%
26°C
$178 Vol.
7%
27°C
$30 Vol.
16%
28°C
$156 Vol.
42%
29°C
$52 Vol.
25%
30°C
$61 Vol.
17%
31°C
$27 Vol.
3%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$5 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 28–30°C as the most likely peak temperature in Istanbul on August 7 because short-range model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating Mediterranean warmth. Daytime maxima have recently trended near the August climatological average of 28°C, with limited diurnal heating from relatively cool Black Sea surface temperatures. Updated forecast runs show no strong warm advection or subsidence enhancement that would push readings above 31°C, keeping the tail risk for 32°C or higher below 5% market-implied odds. The next NHC-style regional briefing and 48-hour model suite will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$568শেষ তারিখ
Aug 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders are positioning around 28–30°C as the most likely peak temperature in Istanbul on August 7 because short-range model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating Mediterranean warmth. Daytime maxima have recently trended near the August climatological average of 28°C, with limited diurnal heating from relatively cool Black Sea surface temperatures. Updated forecast runs show no strong warm advection or subsidence enhancement that would push readings above 31°C, keeping the tail risk for 32°C or higher below 5% market-implied odds. The next NHC-style regional briefing and 48-hour model suite will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$568শেষ তারিখ
Aug 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are positioning around 28–30°C as the most likely peak temperature in Istanbul on August 7 because short-range model consensus from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS indicates stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow moderating Mediterranean warmth. Daytime maxima have recently trended near the August climatological average of 28°C, with limited diurnal heating from relatively cool Black Sea surface temperatures. Updated forecast runs show no strong warm advection or subsidence enhancement that would push readings above 31°C, keeping the tail risk for 32°C or higher below 5% market-implied odds. The next NHC-style regional briefing and 48-hour model suite will refine wind and cloud-cover details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা