Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate Shanghai's August 7 minimum will likely settle near 27–29°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 28°C. Persistent subtropical monsoon patterns, elevated humidity above 75%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy conditions are suppressing sharper drops below seasonal baselines of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences in the 48-hour window, maintaining stable overnight warmth consistent with early-August climatology where lows rarely fall under 24°C absent major synoptic shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these ranges if precipitation timing changes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
28°C 47%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
31°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
31%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 47%
29°C 31%
27°C 19%
31°C 7%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
31%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate Shanghai's August 7 minimum will likely settle near 27–29°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 28°C. Persistent subtropical monsoon patterns, elevated humidity above 75%, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy conditions are suppressing sharper drops below seasonal baselines of 25–26°C. Recent model runs show no incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences in the 48-hour window, maintaining stable overnight warmth consistent with early-August climatology where lows rarely fall under 24°C absent major synoptic shifts. Updated guidance ahead of the date could refine these ranges if precipitation timing changes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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