**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, point to a mostly sunny day with northeasterly flow and high pressure maintaining daytime highs near 28–29 °C across Istanbul on September 3.** Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara around 22–24 °C continue to moderate extremes, while light winds and limited cloud cover support modest diurnal warming consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~25–26 °C). The market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C (54 %) alongside 25 °C (20 %) and 27 °C (18.5 %) reflects trader consensus that official station readings—likely from central or airport sites—will settle near the upper end of the seasonal norm rather than the slightly warmer model guidance. No major synoptic shifts or heat-advection events are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next clear signal for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 54%
25°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 5%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
54%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 5%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
20%
26°C
54%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, point to a mostly sunny day with northeasterly flow and high pressure maintaining daytime highs near 28–29 °C across Istanbul on September 3.** Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara around 22–24 °C continue to moderate extremes, while light winds and limited cloud cover support modest diurnal warming consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~25–26 °C). The market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C (54 %) alongside 25 °C (20 %) and 27 °C (18.5 %) reflects trader consensus that official station readings—likely from central or airport sites—will settle near the upper end of the seasonal norm rather than the slightly warmer model guidance. No major synoptic shifts or heat-advection events are expected before resolution, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next clear signal for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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